My Authors
Read all threads
Good leader -- and I agree with most the suggestions (IMF lending into arrears/ revisiting the SDR allocation).

But I might go a bit further -- the IMF after all isn't using most of its balance sheet right now

ft.com/content/ddfe66…
IMF lending of course doesn't solve debt problems (tho b/c of its preferred position, the IMF can lend into situations of uncertainty). But the IMF certainly could do a lot more to address EM financing needs -- lending has increased by only $25b (through end May) Image
The IMF itself forecasts that -- including all the RFIs (Rapid Financing Instruments) in the pipeline and the increase in the FCLs (Flexible Credit Line) it will only be using a quarter of its balance sheet ($250b or $1 trillion) ...
That means 3/4s of the IMF's resources aren't currently on track to be put to any use ...

Now perhaps the emerging world is already so indebted that it cannot borrow more, and the IMF's resources cannot be used. But if that's the case, a lot more debt restructurings are needed
And if you look at its details, the debt service suspension initiative isn't going to provide impressive sums either --

The WB's data shows that $5.3b of the $11.5b in flow relief goes to just two countries (Pakistan & Angola), leaving $6b for the rest

worldbank.org/en/topic/debt/…
That seems a small number relative to any estimate of the likely need --

and in fact it is far less than the $20b these countries would get from a $500b SDR allocation (which was criticized for being poorly targetted)

piie.com/blogs/realtime… Image
So my view here is simple --

The Fund's RFIs (~ $100b in new lending max) and the G-20 Debt Service Suspension Initiative ($11.5b, with $5.3b going to two countries) don't constitute a sufficient global financial response to the current shock.
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh.

Keep Current with Brad Setser

Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!