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THREAD: AZ Polling & Covid Impact on Latino Pop @ProjectLincoln

15 days ago @realDonaldTrump campaigned in AZ. Since the rally Covid cases DOUBLED 50k to 100k. Took 5 months to get to 50k positives, 15 days to double. Trump is pulling McSally & country down w/his incompetence.
B/w the uploads of ‘Mourning in America’ (5/4) & ‘Bounty’ (6/27) to our YouTube channel, Trump’s polling avg fell from 45.1% to 42.9% in AZ

In the Senate race Kelly's lead over McSally solidified at 7-8pts. McSally’s numbers have consistently dropped at below 40% since May.
Key driver of Hispanic gender gap in AZ:
1) Latinos are much more likely than Latinas to express worry about the economy vs worry about getting sick from Covid: 15%-14%.
2) Latinas worry more about Covid than economy: 17%-11%. Biden’s favorability not as strong among Hispanic men as it is among Hispanic women b/c of Trump’s favorability w/ the economy.
Latinos currently make up 1/2 of all known demographic positive infections in AZ despite making up a 1/3 the pop.

Outbreak of Covid in Sunbelt might very well shift Latino views of Trump as we connect his mishandling & incompetence of Covid w/economic devastation of country.
AZ’s pandemic is out of control:
*AZ has had a 10x inc in positive cases in 5 days.
*AZ's new daily cases just exceeded NY’s, normalized by the pop.
*Est. 220k people or 3% of the AZ pop currently infectious.
*91% of state’s ICU beds are occupied. More than 3.3k currently hospitalized.
*Pima County now has only 5-10 beds available some days. Pima County’s residents who test positive for Covid-19 now have to get treated in other states if they need to be hospitalized.
*Test results in AZ now take 6-7 days to process & FEMA has denied MULTIPLE requests for months by the Phoenix mayor to set up a large-scale test site as they’ve done in other major cities. Phoenix is the largest city in the country not to receive a mass testing site.
Trump didn’t know how to handle the pandemic. He doesn’t know how to fix the economy b/c he can’t control the pandemic. So he’s delegated responsibility to the states to stitch together a response that is leaving Latinos and people of color in the gaps. #AmericaOrTump #FireDonald
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