1. My own thoughts on what *should* be and what *is* for Israel-Palestine. A thread.
2. Sane people agree that a 2-State Solution (2SS) offers the best chance of peace. I've always endorsed the idea and still do, and I'm in favor of anything I think makes that possible. But it is absolutely not a guarantee, and getting there will be extremely difficult.
3. Both sides have their maximalists, their extremists. In what proportions? It's really hard to know. For one thing, it might not matter, as it only took one shooter to kill Rabin, although he was the product of a milieu that encouraged him.
Who's ready for Volume VI of Admiral Raoul Castex's magnum opus, Théories Stratégiques? Who? Only France's genius 20th century naval strategist, who's unknown outside France bc he wrote too much and most ppl can't bother. But that's what I'm here for. Very long thread:
1. This vol is entitled "Strategic Mix" (Mélanges stratégiques) which is stuff that wasn't meant to be included in this work, the last vol of which was supposed to be vol 5. But he couldn't help himself. Vol 6 post-dates 1940, which should make it particularly interesting.
2. Per the table of contents, which the French insanely insist on putting in the back of books, the topics include:
Stuff about geography
Stuff about "rears" (militarily speaking...not physiognomy)
Observations about maneuver
Ops plans
"Sources of Strategy"
Stuff about WW2
Time now for vol. 5 of Raoul Castex's Théories Stratégiques. This volume is entitled, "The Sea Against the Land." And it's a big one. The longest.
1. Couteau-Bégarie, the editor, says the thesis is this: "The sea was the agent of execution and realization of the Dispersit superbos proclaimed by the Magnificat. Yes, 'he counfounded the superbs,' and the sea was the instrument of his will...it saved in all circumstances...
2. ....the freedom of the world and civilization." That's a quote of Castex, that Couteau-Bégarie cites. v 5 p. v.
1. #Mali has appointed General El Hadj ag Gamou as governor of #Kidal. It's an interesting choice. Who is he? What does this mean? A thread.
2. Gamou is a Tuareg from the Imghad caste. Tuareg society is divided by caste and tribe. Imghad tribes are vassal tribes. The noble tribes (in Mali) are the Illelan. The top-tier nobles are Ifoghas.
3. Gamou's tribe is from Menaka, which I suspect means that his tribe was once a vassal to the Iwllemmedan confederation. That was the dominant Tuareg confederation in Mali until the French broke it apart together with its allies, the Kel Adagh, in 1916.
1. Hamas and Hezbollah have mastered asymmetrical warfare. Militarily weaker than Israel, they have found a key vulnerability by encrusting themselves amid civilian populations at a time when...
2... global public opinion demands a maximalist approach to discerning between combattant and presumably innocent civilians. Moreover...
3....military power by definition is not a tool built for such discernment. There is zero way to combat Hamas or Hezb without killing lots of civilians. There's just no way. Which leads to several critical questions.
1. There are IIRC three main Tuareg confederations in Mali. I've seen no real data re: the relative population sizes of the three.
2. Generally only one of the three, the Kel Adagh (alt. Kel Adar) is in the news, associated with rebellions. This has been true historically as well. The others generally sat out these fights. Maybe in the 1990s they were more involved.