"In the end, Trump did what he said. He built a wall around 🇺🇸 & made the world pay for it. He just never told Americans that they’d be stuck inside. Welcome to the Plague States of 🇺🇸. You can check out, but you can never leave" @indica turns the knife! medium.com/@indica/the-pl…
"Given than you need a functioning government to manage this pandemic, that's [2021] the soonest Americans can get one.
It’s far too late.
...In the absence of a humane government, America is now ruled by COVID-19. Welcome to the Plague States of America." 2/
Travel out of infected Northeast & from Europe accelerated spread nationwide in Feb/March. Exodus from NY/NJ area especially by affluent sparked outbreaks. Its a comprehensive failure of national strategy, not of individual states. 3/ nytimes.com/interactive/20…
"Besides impeaching a dead-duck President, there’s nothing America can do but wait, while COVID-19 grows ever stronger. Grows completely out of control. In a pandemic, days matter, hours matter. A year is entirely too late." #viraltime 4/
"Plague States of America" is harsh but true. By November elections, US projected to have close to 7 Million cases (detecting roughly 1 in 5 infections, so thats 35 million infected americans and ~200,000 lives lost). /END covidanalytics.io/projections covid19-projections.com/#current-us-pr…
.@BrankoMilan comparison. Germany beating Brazil was jaw-dropping during the first half. This is jaw-dropping, coronavirus shooting goals, running circles around a bungling defense, for a whole year.
GOP insane gamble isn't "ppl should die" but that (1) virus is unstoppable anyway (2) Better to infect ppl rapidly & 'achieve' peak by August (3) Claim success as cases/deaths will be declining going into Nov elections. Boosts Economy prospects. (4) Win washingtonpost.com/us-policy/2020…
Trump/GOP stump speeches for elections:
"Yes 200-250,000 ppl are dead. But we fixed it. Remember how awful August was? September and October are so much better. Jobs are back. Wages are going back up. Its Morning in America again." covid19-projections.com/#current-us-pr…
Look how close November elections are *now* with over 150,000 dead & economy in toilet. Best projections (@youyanggu) suggest covid declines from September onwards. Don't write off Teflon Trump. covid19-projections.com/us
Too many ppl are lost in a maze of numbers when the way to stop plague, is really simple - 'Find, Test, Trace, Isolate, & Support'. Its just each has to be coordinated & done in a focused way. All while #viraltime clock ticks fast independentsage.org/wp-content/upl…
The Real Pandemic Danger Is Social Collapse
"If more people emerge from the current crisis with neither money, nor jobs, nor access to health care, and if these people become desperate and angry... "
-@BrankoMilan in March. pic ht @JStein_WaPo foreignaffairs.com/articles/2020-…
Best projections suggest each week from here on has fewer deaths. Trump/GOP campaign msg will be: "Yes 250,000 ppl are dead. But we fixed it. Remember how awful August was? Sept & Oct are better. Jobs are back. Wages are up. Its Morning in America again"
Lot of self-congratulation in Pence's #RNC2020 speech. The corona czar has been bungling one thing after another, but not in this alt. reality. Key Q is whether ppl prefer to forget the scandals as daily new cases/deaths decline cnn.com/2020/08/26/pol…
Heartening trends. In places that were hotspots before, cases per million are *way* down. Hospitalizations down nearly 70% in latest hotspots. Arizona, for eg., had ~3500 hospitalizations in mid July. Now, under 600.
1/ "What's happening in Guyana isn't just happening there. All over the globe, oil companies are racing to tap as many of the remaining fossil fuel reserves as they can"
@jeffgoodell :
2/ This is not a a story of Guyana’s PM lecturing western liberals over hypocrisy climate, oil & Amazonian forests.
But a geopolitical story of developing country elites working with western firms (Exxon) to sell to western markets (oil goes to europe) phenomenalworld.org/analysis/offsh…
3/ "Guyana is now producing nearly as much oil as Venezuela -1 of the largest oil exporters since the 1920s & founder of OPEC
This amazing article on Exxon shows that the logic of imperial exploitation of natural resources is alive & kicking"-@GaraviniG phenomenalworld.org/analysis/offsh…
White House request to Congress for $106 billion in emergency funding for foreign aid.
A budget tells you more than words about actual priorities. Full breakdown in this PDF incl military aid to Ukraine, Israel, intl development (World bank) etc Thread whitehouse.gov/wp-content/upl…
2/ UKRAINE: US so far has sent more than $75 billion to Ukraine. Of new $106B, Biden asks $61B for Ukraine.
~$50B military aid, loans for military gear, DOD stocks of weapons etc (Pg 4-27_
~$11.75B economic (pg 42)
3/Reminder why Biden's request for emergency funding looks the way it does-$106B for ukraine,israel,border, humanitarian. US congressional politics when governed by Dem president+Dem senate+Republican house makes funding requests look like a dogs breakfast
Three guesses:
1 Energy transition is from fossil fuels to metal-based economy
2 Revenues from metals is tiny compared to selling fossils => No current petrostate turns into electrostate.
3 Hi Capital requirments =>Majority of extraction will take place in Global North not South
if 2 is true, then the future has no electrostates. None. Not Indonesia, Australia, certainly not Canada.
Revenues that a state will earn from digging metals & processing it will be too tiny to support an entire population with welfare or dividends. ft.com/content/0d2fba…
sure, very metal specific. cobalt, nickel, copper etc will continue to be in global south countries
to clarify, by majority I meant more than half, not less than half. in most ppls minds, global south is going to do all of it
Ppl forget Australia+Canada+US have capital & metals
The deranged idea—as @GhoshAmitav describes—that we are safe, that things are under control, that bad things only happen to people who are far away, persists.
Amid the climate crises, other records have been smashed too: the most air travel passengers in a single day in the US; the highest-ever profits for European carriers IAG and Air France-KLM; record oil consumption and record coal production. phenomenalworld.org/analysis/globa…
Former US National Security advisor Fiona Hill acknowledged that the “Rest” were rebelling against the West. She cited an Indian interlocutor asking, “Where are you when things go wrong for us?”
Climate needs investments. But there is global Austerity. Countries make terrible choices between debt payments & food, energy, social services. And they almost always choose to make debt payments to not risk further downgrades. phenomenalworld.org/analysis/globa…