I believe in buying overbought and selling oversold and this strategy is based on this assumption.
Entry criteria: CCI(34) on Weekly crossed above 100 and CCI(34) on Daily >100. Enter only above weekly high
Stoploss criteria: Recent swing low on the daily chart 2/n
Exit criteria: CCI(34) on Daily<-100
Holding period: Few days to many months
Pyramiding your winners should be considered to make your winners big. I'll write a post on this topic in the future. 3/n
Why trade on a multi-timeframe? This is a top-down approach where we observe the larger trend of the stock before we take entries on the smaller or medium trend of the stock. This concept can be compared to tides in the sea. 4/n
A larger wave in the sea will overpower the smaller waves, no matter what, simply because the larger waves have more velocity and force. In a similar way, a stock trending in the larger TF will overpower the smaller TF trend and will finally take the stock price higher. 5/n
While trading this strategy we presume this will work & buy stock in the shorter TF just when the larger TF is showing bullishness. This ensures we are in the right direction. In case the stock reverses, we exit based on the stop loss or based on the exit criteria. 6/n
Not to mention, this is NOT a holy grail strategy but helps one catch the shorter TF trend very well. You WILL have losing trades. So, it is important to consider proper position sizing and assess your risk before entry. Let's look at examples now. 7/n
Ex: SBIN & Reliance. The larger trend turned bullish. So, we enter just above the weekly high and hold on until the stop hits or exit criterium is met. Note that by buying just above the high, you skip that initial short term downtrend or you might even skip many bad trades8/n
Ex: Axis Bank and Maruti. Once the CCI daily goes below -100, you need to exit the next day at open. You never know how deep the stock can correct. 9/n
Ex: Bajaj Finance and HDFC Bank - Good Profits. You never know much a stock can rally. So, identify a strategy that can keep you in the trade for as long as possible. Remember, 80% of your profits come from such 20% of trades. Such trades make up your PnL in the long run 10/n
- If everyone is talking about it on social media and it has already broken out
- If a stock has moved up already for the last few days
- If a stock is up more than 10% already from breakout zone
- If your SL is deep
2⃣ Enter only on breakout & nowhere else if you're trading breakouts...
Buy only…
- above breakout zones (no entry in no-man land)
- above a key resistance zone after a stock consolidates
- 1-2% above resistance zone
- Identify entry points(set alerts on TV/set GTT in zerodha)