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#AbsenteeBallotNow #RegisterToVoteNow (thread)

Remember this: President Trump doesn’t even need to win in order to win. He just needs to keep enough voters from casting a ballot to slip through the Electoral College, again.
This election is too important to bet it on America’s limited ability to grok statistics. Here’s why anyone who cares about trouncing Trump should pretend the presidential polls and models have all been canceled:
No poll can account for the toxic mix of voter suppression, COVID-19, and a U.S. president willing to use every power at his disposal to prevent Americans from voting. The pandemic has sent the U.S. economy into a medical coma for 2nd time in months has crushed voter registration
Despite the White House admitting that we’re likely to face a potentially worse second wave in the fall, Trump has declared a holy war on his favorite method of casting a ballot: mail-in voting, which he has called his “biggest risk” to getting reelected.
Trump is desperate to make voters wait in lines to vote. Why? “Trump’s reelection strategy depends on cutting off channels for voters to have polling places; then sending operatives & right-wingers to intimidate, suppress voters in person,” says Ben Wikler, of the WI Dems
With a deadly virus raging & new voter suppression tools at his disposal the GOP hasn’t had in decades, Trump’s strategy makes a lot more sense than anyone will admit. Trump will lie, cheat & steal to keep the one job that keeps him from being indicted — and his GOP will help.
This year has already been the longest decade of our lifetime, so it’s easy to forget this president was recently impeached for trying to extort a foreign gov't into wrecking Biden's candidacy. And every Senate Republican save Romney, gave him a license to do the same thing again
It isn’t just the quislings in the Senate inviting Trump to use the nearly unlimited power of the presidency to win in November. AG William Barr — AKA #BoogalooBill AKA Roy Cohn — has done his best to establish a kingly immunity for Trump.
Trump will never stop using his favorite strategy: strategic racism. Why is a NY Yankee carpetbagger like Trump defending the Confederacy more vigorously than the state of Mississippi? He recognizes that if he can keep dividing America based on race, he can still win
While the #BlackLivesMattters movement is reaching new heights of popularity & America is more diverse than ever, white people made up the vast majority of voters in 2016 and will in 2020. “Dividing the races has been the rich's main weapon in the class war they are winning,"
from "Dog Whistle Politics." & there’s nothing — except, maybe golf, that Trump is more devoted to than tickling America’s racist bone. & racism isn’t the only gun from his 2016 arsenal. He has recaptured his best advantage from the last election — people don’t think he can win
Polling that shows him losing in the way he deserves to be could lead to a numbing effect, especially after Trump spends more than half a billion dollars to convince voters barely paying attention that Biden is as flawed as Trump, so why not vote third party or just stay home!
Even a joking Kanye West write-in candidacy would be risky. A lot of people too cowardly to admit they want a second Trump term, or too confident Biden was winning, would be able to peel away crucial votes from Biden in states that could be decided by skin-tight margins.
Get those absentee ballots now!!!!
If it worked in 2016, there’s no reason to believe it can’t work when Trump has more power and money behind him. And he and the billionaires he has paid off with tax cuts, bailout funds & shredded consumer protections now have far more to lose
Even if he loses, it’s not over. Nov. 3 may see the first presidential election in decades where we won't know the winner on election night, or even election week. Trump's constant whining is laying the groundwork to contest this election. Delays will only fuel this effort.
What can we do instead of gorging on poll numbers?

1. We “flatten the absentee ballot request curve” so there isn't a last-minute spike, says election experts. If you’re eligible, request your absentee ballot as soon as you can. 2. Make sure everyone you know does, too.
3. Support candidates up & down-ballot any way possible, especially 🆚 #MoscowMitch! Donate $5, volunteer time 4. Preach the virtues of patience over polling as we prepare for the only poll results that counts — the one Trump will, hopefully, whine about for the rest of his life
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