Thread by @Hold2LLC

US Update: 7/14/2020

Graph 1: Daily Deaths Overlaid with Current Hospitalizations

- Sunday deaths much closer to last Sunday than the rest of the week
- Today's backlog catchup will be important. <922 will show a 7-day decline
- Hosps another big jump despite AZ going down

/1

Graph 2: Current ICU Census vs. Deaths (7-Day Avg) vs. Daily Detected Cases

***CTP ICU data does not include TX/FL

- 7-Day Death avg up 238 from last Sunday but will normalize after today
- ICUs up a lot for one day
- Detected Cases now more than 2X original peak

/2

Graph 3: Daily Tests and Detected Cases Overlaid with Case Positivity

- Hit 720k tests again despite a weekend day. Test # could rocket up today
- Case Positivity down to 8.7%. Could actually be lower when negatives come in
- 3-day decrease in Detected Cases but not a trend yet

Graph 4: Coronavirus - Census for Hospitalizations vs. ICUs vs. Ventilators

***ICUs/Vents not reported by TX/FL

- Hosps up 2,400 in 3 days since adding FL
- ICUs up 409 W-o-W
- Vents up 144 W-o-W

All of these are big increases and are more important than cases

/4