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We're live! Professor Pagel is discussing the latest figures.
The number of new deaths per day in the UK is still coming down. New confirmed cases has flatlined over the last two weeks.
The Zero Covid strategy requires 1 case per million and we are still at 10.
Only 40 - 70% of people with symptoms are getting tested.
A quarter of newly infected people cannot be reached.
We ask people to isolate but we have no idea if they actually do.
Karl Friston is reporting on modelling.
We're moving from Covid-alert to Covid-aware - still living with the virus.
If we look at Leicester the new cases per day is well above the threshold of ten. London is now down to three.
Susan Michie is now presenting on recommendations for lowering exposure to the virus.
We need a public information campaign, tailored to communities using a range of languages and media.
The government should ensure equity, providing free face coverings to people who can't afford them.
Face coverings must be used alongside not instead of other measures such as hand washing and social distancing.
The government must address the issues of those with mental or physical disabilities.
We would not support the opening up of any new activities that increase risk, and we would recommend that indoor pubs are not kept open.
Our threshold on opening up is at one new case per million.
Support needs to continue to be given or we face a very difficult winter.
The best way of mitigating economic damage is to get to s stage where we can open up properly. A number of us are involved in work with the events industry to help with crowd safety.
The department of health website says clearly how every death rate is calculated so Matt Hancock's inquiry seems a little odd.
There is some primary care data emerging on people with suspected cases. The people with the most severe symptoms post recovery are those who have been admitted. In particular tiredness and depression are lasting for months.
A lot of people are suffering long term symptoms. My wife had a heart attack a month ago which the cardiologists think is Covid related.
There is really moving article in the Guardian by Professor Val Curtis about intolerable waits for cancer treatment during this pandemic.
The question for care homes is getting an estimate of cases at your geographical location served by your NHS trust provider. They will have access to the fine grained data.
Take special measures when 10 per 100,000 people are affected in your area.
Question: In offices and classrooms you tend to spend a lot of time with the same people. Does a mask protect you? Exposure time is clearly a risk?
The risk of transmission increases the more people you're in contact with, the nearer you are to them and the longer the duration you're in contact with them. Masks will go some way to reducing the risk. We want to use every measure we can.
Time is of the essence. It's important to think of face masks as part of an overall strategy to drive the infection rate down.
If I can channel Tesco here, "Every little helps."
It's unfortunate that an information campaign is needed not just to educate the public but to educate the government as well.
You want to know how many people are getting infected in your community per day and it's a difficult statistical problem.
There is a plateau in the number of new positive tests in the context of no increase in deaths. Perhaps younger people are now more exposed who are less likely to die from Covid. But long-lasting morbidity and long-term complications are important factors to look at.
Deaths lag infections by 3 - 4 weeks. But the people getting infected now are younger and less likely to die. But this is still a horrible disease.
We're doing tests to inform strategy and interrupt transmission. With the data we need to look at not just age but ethnicity and nature of work, co-morbidities - it's about WHO as well as what.
Leicester became an outlier when pillar two data became available.
It's a wrap! Thank you for joining us!
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