FRIDAY testing data in
Headline: Welp, remember that 5% positivity line we didn't want to cross? Yep, we crossed it.
Three day average:
7/16: 5.11%
7/9: 4.77%
(6/15: 2.34%)
#9news
Headline: Welp, remember that 5% positivity line we didn't want to cross? Yep, we crossed it.
Three day average:
7/16: 5.11%
7/9: 4.77%
(6/15: 2.34%)
#9news
Why is this a (relatively) big deal?
Because the WHO, in essence, made that the threshold... Said it was a good sign for countries to have it below 5% for 14 days in a row.
Yes, it's a bit of an arbitrary line, but it's important nonetheless.
coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/indivi…
Because the WHO, in essence, made that the threshold... Said it was a good sign for countries to have it below 5% for 14 days in a row.
Yes, it's a bit of an arbitrary line, but it's important nonetheless.
coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/indivi…
Does this mean we are doomed?
No.
Does it mean we are going to lock down again?
No.
But we are seeing more positive cases, even as we test more. That suggests what @CDPHE has been saying...
There is more spread taking place RIGHT NOW
No.
Does it mean we are going to lock down again?
No.
But we are seeing more positive cases, even as we test more. That suggests what @CDPHE has been saying...
There is more spread taking place RIGHT NOW
You can see this all play out in the cases chart (a chart I don't love BTW... but will show for this specific purpose)
Since late June, we've seen a steady increase in cases.
Now, if we were seeing more testing, this rise wouldn't be that big of a deal... BUT...
Since late June, we've seen a steady increase in cases.
Now, if we were seeing more testing, this rise wouldn't be that big of a deal... BUT...
While we have seen more tests (we are generally in 8K+ range as of late), it's not matching with case increase.
How do we know? Positivity.
More tests + more cases + stable positivity = good sign
More tests + more cases + increasing positivity = not so good sign
How do we know? Positivity.
More tests + more cases + stable positivity = good sign
More tests + more cases + increasing positivity = not so good sign
Look at what's happening.
So here's the deal...
In some ways, we knew we'd get to this point. Reopening would not come without some consequences.
BUT... it also means if we continue down this road, with no change, we will likely see... yep... more problems.
In some ways, we knew we'd get to this point. Reopening would not come without some consequences.
BUT... it also means if we continue down this road, with no change, we will likely see... yep... more problems.
Colorado is trending in the wrong direction.
it's not catastrophic. And, no, the sky is not falling.
BUT
This is why the little things matter... RIGHT NOW.
Wash your hands. Stay away from big crowds. And, yeah, consider wearing a mask.
Stay safe. This ain't over.
it's not catastrophic. And, no, the sky is not falling.
BUT
This is why the little things matter... RIGHT NOW.
Wash your hands. Stay away from big crowds. And, yeah, consider wearing a mask.
Stay safe. This ain't over.
ONE MORE THING...
Look at the trend here in cases.
At this rate, we are no more than a few weeks away from seeing a record number of cases in Colorado.
Of course, you know, part of that will be b/c of more tests, but we are about to cross a threshold we don't want to.
Look at the trend here in cases.
At this rate, we are no more than a few weeks away from seeing a record number of cases in Colorado.
Of course, you know, part of that will be b/c of more tests, but we are about to cross a threshold we don't want to.
Let me leave you with this...
I really don't want to see any more closures. I'd really like for my kid to go to school next month.
We've already sacrificed too much.
But if this doesn't change, the mask debate is going to seem like child's play.
-fin
I really don't want to see any more closures. I'd really like for my kid to go to school next month.
We've already sacrificed too much.
But if this doesn't change, the mask debate is going to seem like child's play.
-fin
