My Authors
Read all threads
As an FYI, there have been a fairly high number of polls with partisan sponsors in the presidential race this year. (Usually these are more common in races for Congress.) We DO include these polls in our averages, which is a change from the past, but with an adjustment.
Namely, we use a stricter house effects adjustment; the model assumes that these polls are biased until proven otherwise. And it weights them less.

However, for boring technical reasons, the model wasn't catching all the partisan polls and adjusting them like it was supposed to.
So as an FYI, we fixed that tonight, which slightly changed the averages in some states. Also, here is our newly-updated polls policy, which explains what is considered a partisan poll. fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls…
Polls sponsored by media organizations are generally *not* considered partisan, even if that organization has a clear viewpoint. But we make an exception if they cherry-pick or selectively release data, as OANN has been doing.
OANN is currently the only organization that we've had to apply this policy to, but please be aware that we'll also apply it to other sponsors that selectively release data to the benefit of one candidate or party, which clearly qualifies as partisan behavior.
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh.

Keep Current with Nate Silver

Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!