So there has certainly been some convergence on the track forecast today for #Isaias The 12z major global models and their ensembles. It looks like the storm will strengthen into a hurricane as it moves through the Bahamas and towards Florida. I could see cat 1, maybe cat 2.(1/4) 
in a high end scenario Some increasing vertical shear could limit intensification or weaken #Isaias this weekend as it moves up just off the FL coast. I like a track just off the GA/SC coast with a threat to the NC coast by Mon/Tues The waters are warm so we could (2/4)
see some re-intensification. The steering currents look to keep #Isaias close to the coast as it re-curves so interests along the whole east coast need to monitor and prepare. This is my best idea as of now. But, I would like to see the storm pull away from Hispaniola .. (3/4)
and consolidate more to feel more confident. The 00z and 12z models tomorrow may converge even more. Everyone along the east coast needs to keep tabs. (4/4)
