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New York Times and Stiglitz claim UN finds cost of unmitigated climate change much higher than what I say

False.

The world's only Nobel climate economist and I say 3.6%. UN says 2.6%. Even lower. Oops

One of many #FalseClaimsToPreserveAlarmism

linkedin.com/pulse/new-york… Image
See previous false statements:
Here is the description of the stunningly long list of false and deceptive claims from New York Times

Of its 12 central, critical claims, 12 are false

Deplorable fact-checking

#FalseClaimsToPreserveAlarmism
linkedin.com/pulse/new-york…
New York Times & Stiglitz don't want to see their alarmism debunked:

Don’t read his book with the economic evidence! It is ”dangerous”

Don't look at the data! It is "mind-pollution”

Well, fortunately, you can read for yourself:

hachettebookgroup.com/wp-content/upl… Image
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Bjorn Lomborg
@BjornLomborg
@JamesGDyke @past_is_future These are all great considerations, and we do discuss some of these as sensitivity

But given the incredible difference between the costs and benefits, it will be almost impossible to make the lockdown a good use of resources
@JamesGDyke @past_is_future I am surprised you would say "Your job is to show innaction & immediate deaths is "cheaper" than action"

That just wrong. We're trying to find what works best

I would encourage you to try to show other parameter choices that would show a lockdown is a great idea for Malawi
@JamesGDyke @past_is_future That would help the conversation forward, and also help Malawi (and Ghana and other countries)

And it would also be helpful to hear your reply to why it wouldn't be better first to help the people with HIV, where we can avoid more deaths at 4,000th the cost
Read 3 tweets
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Bjorn Lomborg
@BjornLomborg
Even moderate lockdowns likely a terrible idea for poorer nations

We did a study with Malawi's National Planning Commission:

Lockdown avoids about 7,000 deaths but costs $12 billion

$3 million can avoid more deaths in Malawi (4,000 times cheaper)

npc.mw/docs/NPC%20COV…
Imperial College finds that moderate social distancing reduces COVID death by about 12,000. We also expect less traffic deaths and less additional HIV death. Lockdown will also cause more malnutrition, tuberculosis and malaria, leading to a net benefit of 6,700 avoided deaths
The costs are: 1) shut down schools which leads to long-term lower child productivity. Since each extra school year increases wages by 12%, school lockdown cost is $5.2 billion (almost one year GDP) — the present value of income loss for 6 million children over the next
50 years
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Bjorn Lomborg
@BjornLomborg
World Economic Forum released its risk assessment for the coming 1.5 years:

All about recession & unemployment, economics and of course a second wave of corona

www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_COVID…
Here is the full list of concerns for the next 1.5 years
No large environmental concerns — swamped by economic and others

Interestingly, World Economic Forum had over the past 15 years increasingly come to see the environment as the riskiest issue (here just months earlier)

www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Globa…
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