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I wrote a NEWSWEEK article on how Trump could delegitimize the election to cause chaos—amidst which chaos state/federal prosecutions of him may become impossible. With today's breaking news on another possible Trump prosecution, this may be worth a reread. newsweek.com/trump-election…
The short version: If, in October, Trump believes he's about to lose, his thoughts will turn to avoiding all prosecutions post-presidency. His only option will be to so torch the legitimacy of a Biden win that *anyone* prosecuting him post-presidency is no longer a viable option.
The only way for all post-presidency prosecutions of Trump to suddenly become too dangerous for any entity—state or federal—to pursue would be if Biden's win is (artificially) made *so* "controversial" by Trump's words and actions that any prosecution of Trump risks civil unrest.
Trump can't resign and have Pence pardon him—a scenario I never considered likely anyway—for *state* offenses.

So if Trump wants to be free of prosecution post-presidency, he must find a way to make it too politically (even literally) "dangerous" for any entity to prosecute him.
Trump may or may not be able to save himself from a loss in November. But he can, with just a few tweets, create such chaos surrounding a Biden victory that 30%-40% of the country considers Biden "not the president"—and therefore any prosecution of Trump a cause for civil unrest.
A last thought on this: I appreciate the sentiment, but I am *not* smarter than the entirety of Trump's dozens-strong core of White House and external advisers. Please don't give me credit for an "idea" no one in Trumpworld has already thought of—I promise you, they already have.
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Seth Abramson
@SethAbramson
(THREAD) This thread contains every lie Trump told to Jonathan Swan of Axios. The truth immediately follows each lie.

Please retweet this widely. America already knows its president is a liar, but now that he's losing his re-election campaign badly, he's taken it to a new level.
LIE: Trump says that—despite growing up in the "church" of Norman Vincent Beale's now-infamous philosophy of "positive thinking"—he's equally committed to always seeing the downside of a scenario.

TRUTH: Trump aides' books confirm he won't hear bad news—and it endangers America.
LIE: Trump says his "incredible" pandemic response is evident in him stopping all people from coming to the US from China.

TRUTH: The NYT reports that Trump's "ban" had so many loopholes that 40,000 came to the US from China *just* in the 5 weeks immediately following the order.
Read 107 tweets
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Seth Abramson
@SethAbramson
BREAKING NEWS: The Erik Prince Business Associate Who Had Begun to Reveal Prince's Crimes in Real Time on Twitter Has Disappeared From the Platform; Gregg Smith Is the Former CEO of Prince's Partially China-Owned Frontier Services Group
PS/ The below screenshot gives you a sense of some of what Smith was posting before he and/or his account disappeared. Needless to say I have no information on what happened here, and I won't speculate. But I think some full-time journalists should consider looking into this now.
PS2/ The most obvious answer is usually the right one, so of course it's entirely possible Gregg simply terminated his account suddenly—after saying he'd be posting up through the election about Erik Prince. But either way, it'd be a hell of a story for a journalist to look into.
Read 8 tweets
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Seth Abramson
@SethAbramson
(THREAD) This thread aims to clear up widespread confusion over the provenance, production, and purpose of the forthcoming fifth volume of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence Trump-Russia report. I hope you'll read on and retweet, as voters need to know the truth on this. Image
1/ As I emphasized in my recent audio commentary on this forthcoming report—which focuses exclusively on the counterintelligence component of the SSCI Trump-Russia investigation—"Volume 5" (as it's come to be called in shorthand) is likely to be "damning."
2/ The question has always been *how* damning. Why? Because the Mueller Report was damning—as anyone who read it knows. Mueller's report covered the "criminal" side of the Trump-Russia probe; this covers the "counterintelligence" side, which—as my books reveal—is no less damning.
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