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Aug 10, 2020 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
QUESTION: What just happened in Belarus? We asked @kaltau Karl Altau from @JBANCchatter to sum it up. Follow this thread for the answer. nytimes.com/2020/08/09/wor…
ANSWER: "The so-called “election” farce in Belarus has overnight turned from elusive hope for peaceful protesters into dismay due to the violent reaction by the regime.
Alyaksandr Lukashenka (Alexander Lukashenko)* has again stolen the election from the people of Belarus.
Lukashenka is weak. The Kremlin prefers the status quo there and will do what it can so that their preferred balance of power remains.
Belarus is dependent on Russian energy, and the Russian security services have infiltrated Belarus domestically, according to reliable sources. Looking at the online disruptions and cyber outages in Belarus, I would not be surprised to see a Kremlin hand in that.
Putin and his cronies are certainly worried about a spillover effect that might embolden Russian citizens and hasten the end of the Putin regime.
It’s been very encouraging to see a new generation of citizens in Belarus who are tired of the “last dictator in Europe” and his quarter-century plus hold on power, and who are emboldened to act against it in a non-violent way.
The people of Belarus are back on the streets again today. Will their hopes die?"
(NOTE from @NatSecAnswers) This is of great concern to the U.S. in part because; while on the face of it it looks like a stinging defeat for Russia, since Lukashenka recently broke with the Kremlin, it, at the end of the day, may result in Russia taking advantage of the chaos.
Read more about Karl Altau and JBANC here: jbanc.org Image
If you have a question about national security, follow @NatSecAnswers. Send us your question and we'll get the answer. @threadreaderapp #A12 Image

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More from @NatSecAnswers

Jul 8, 2021
QUESTION: What should the Biden administration do about growing frustration from the public over #Kremlin-sponsored cyberattacks on the US? We asked @natsec09 what he’s learned about this. Follow this thread for the answer.
ANSWER: An Intelligence source tells me, "yes, @JoeBiden is facing pressure from pundits and politicos across the country to do something public to show he's punishing Russia for its attacks. But, embarrass Putin publicly, then what?"
This is the key hurdle for the administration. How far can or should it go in publicly punishing Russia? Because, whether Americans want to hear it or not, Russia can also publicly punish the U.S.
Read 8 tweets
Apr 5, 2021
QUESTION: Crisis at the US-Mexico border. What's the impact on the safety and security of migrants and asylum seekers? We asked @GCorreaCabrera. Follow this thread for the answer.
ANSWER: "What is happening today at the border is not a new phenomenon; it is a condition that has been repeating itself in the past few years under different ‘political’ circumstances. This so-called “crisis” responds to a broken immigration system in the United States and
to complex structural hemispheric problems that have not been yet resolved. Poverty, inequality and insecurity are at the center of a real humanitarian crisis in the Americas. There is indeed a relevant human problem at the US-Mexico border that is putting unaccompanied minors
Read 8 tweets
Mar 30, 2021
QUESTION: How did the recent #Suezblockage impact global security? We asked Brandon Fried @AfAExecDirector. Follow this thread for the answer.
"The Suez situation could not have come at a worse time with global demand for products and an all-time high, and we didn’t need another significant choke point to restrain capacity. Of course, the congestion at the Port of Los Angeles continues to be a big challenge as well.
The containers on these vessels are essential to the global supply chain must be put back into circulation as soon as possible. Without them, cargo sits at the docks, waiting not only for the ships but the metal boxes they carry as well.
Read 8 tweets
Dec 28, 2020
QUESTION: Authorities have identified the person believed to be responsible for the massive suicide blast in #Nashville on Christmas Day 2020 as, 63 year old, Anthony Quinn Warner. What was his motive? We asked @stick631 - Follow this thread for the answer.
ANSWER: “The man responsible for the Christmas Day bombing in downtown Nashville has been identified, but his motive for committing suicide in such a spectacular fashion remains a mystery. It does not appear he left behind any sort of statement or manifesto outlining a grievance
narrative that would provide insight into his motive. Because of this, it is hard to classify the suicide by bomb as an act of terrorism. The suspect also provided warning of the impending explosion, allowing the authorities to evacuate people from the area,
Read 9 tweets
Nov 27, 2020
QUESTION: How has President Donald Trump's firing of top national security officials impacted the intelligence community and the safety & security of the country? We asked Former Principal Deputy Director of National Intelligence @suemgordon22. Follow this thread for the answer.
ANSWER: “To begin, there is some overriding good news. The strength of the intelligence and national security communities lies in the expertise, ethos, and tradecraft of the women and men who serve.
Bureaucracies have downsides, but they have the upside of inherent stability over time. That said, leadership matters; and leadership during times of challenge and change matters a lot.
Read 9 tweets
Nov 13, 2020
QUESTION: President Donald Trump's knowledge of US secrets and his debt may make him and others targets of foreign spies. We asked @LarryPfeifferDC of the @mvhaydencenter, how significant is this threat? Follow this thread for the answer.
ANSWER: "There’s been a bit of discussion in the media about how the large debt President Donald Trump carries into his post-presidency presents a significant security risk. What’s not discussed is the potential risks posed by those in his inner circle.
This is a president who has demanded loyalty above all—those who remain in his inner circle after 4 years are family and others undoubtedly the most loyal. If President Trump were predisposed to reveal classified or other sensitive US government information to foreign
Read 8 tweets

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