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trylks Profile picture
@trylks
Aug 14, 2020 • 6 tweets • 6 min read • Read on X
Sudden realization: automation + Jevons paradox INCREASE BS jobs








Checking the oldest links in my Pocket reading list

It would be interesting if most news (like this) were live, updated with new data, maintaining the URL (w/ diff?)

BTW: prediction: knowledge jobs will keep increasing in quantity, decreasing in quality
Now this is a "keeping tweets for posterity" thread

Mostly random ideas, like this thread about patents:
Also sudden realizations, e.g. Don't find your leaders/clients, grow them







Part of it is: I am reading old news

It is interesting to see how deep learning went to hype to diminishing returns, following the normal hype cycle

How deep may the through of disillusionment be for deep learning?

IMHO we are still gonna go "deeper"
Eventually, @threadreaderapp will not be a good approach to read tweets with "several tweets embedded" and something else will be prefereable, but that is a problem for the future

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More from @trylks

trylks Profile picture
Dec 10, 2022
GPT may explain references, requiring a bit more reading and a lot less background to understand the expansion of reference-rich very concise text

I tried, the result follows, seems better than expected. I will certainly use it again
1. Clever Hans was a horse that was able to perform mathematical calculations and other impressive tasks, which initially appeared to be a remarkable example of animal intelligence.
However, it was later discovered that the horse was not actually doing the calculations himself, but was instead picking up on subtle cues from the audience and trainer to determine the correct answer.
Read 14 tweets
trylks Profile picture
Dec 4, 2022
Data abundance: thinking is the bottleneck, needing less of it is an advantage

Read 7 tweets
trylks Profile picture
Dec 30, 2021
Both web3 and the metaverse jeopardize untapping the relevance of crypto: “X as code”:
$BTC: money
$ETH: contracts

Software is eating the world. Eating the web or VR only delays the unavoidable

Relevant: create value, solve problems, do things that matter, fix what sucks,…
Web3 is a terrible choice of name too

Crypto is undoing a lot of the centralization in web 2.0*, and requires technical knowledge. Today, it should be 1.2 IMHO

* Similarly to Jamstack: less PHP, more REST & static pages. Nobody promised linear evolution…
Many people expect crypto will become easier, more polished, and gain mass adoption

It is about freedom & DIY, avoiding intermediaries & centralization, much like GNU/Linux. It's not about getting rich. In fact normally freedom comes at a cost

When mass adoption for GNU/Linux?
Read 4 tweets
trylks Profile picture
Nov 30, 2021
🍋🍑🍎

Producers selecting for their preferred features against the preferred features of consumers, great way to shoot yourself on the foot

The Boeing case is a “great” example

Many references in the parent thread and replies too

In a way, it is the “natural order”
Narrator: The guy that could not do maths went to be the boss of the guy that could, demanding explanations that 4 year old children could understand

Personal suggestion: practice puppetry
Read 22 tweets
trylks Profile picture
Nov 18, 2021
This is fine
Nothing better than education to create value in a society

Pre-apocalyptic dystopias are boring, full of BS and nonsense

Post-apocalyptic dystopias are more interesting, because there's less margin for BS and nonsense

There will always be plenty, though. It's a main feature of a "complex" brain
Read 18 tweets
trylks Profile picture
Mar 14, 2021
Several things may be considered as "triggers" of an AI winter, e.g
—"aging" of teams
—not meeting investor expectations after diminishing returns
—whistleblowers ending the hype by exposing lies
—…

TBH: I think those are symptoms, but not the root cause
The root cause is: "running out of hype"

The biggest threat (TBT) for GPT-4 is not bad practices in OpenAI, investors disappointed with GPT-3, or Gary Marcus calling BS on GPT-3

TBT is finding something to sell not sold for GPT-3 yet

IMHO — as always
Related
Read 4 tweets

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