Aug. 8 indicators have been updated. My new Covid Indicator Trend Index shows substantial fall. This is 20% CDC lab pos% by week, 20% PCR test by collection/test date, 30% CLI as % of ER Visits and 30% hospital occupancy per 1 million residents. Will have region totals later. 
CDC Lab, PCR and CLI are all rates for those weeks compared to total national average for all weeks whereas the hospital occupancy is just average daily covid-19 hospital occupancy that week on a per 1 million basis compared to total for all weeks.
This is what the trend index looks like on a graph
Indicator trends by HHS region
* CDC daily reports (when cases/deaths are reported)
* Viral (%pos results reported to CDC labs)
* PCR (%pos of all PCR tests by lab collection or test)
* CLI (% of ER visits for Covid like illness)
* Hospitalizations (ave. daily occupancy)
* CDC daily reports (when cases/deaths are reported)
* Viral (%pos results reported to CDC labs)
* PCR (%pos of all PCR tests by lab collection or test)
* CLI (% of ER visits for Covid like illness)
* Hospitalizations (ave. daily occupancy)
Region 1 hanging around but burning out. Hospitalizations have gone up slightly but mostly fueled by PUIs as test percentages and CLI are both hovering. Overall Covid Indicator Trend Index (CITI) is at lowest point (25). 100 means national average of total.
Region 2 continues to slow to a crawl. PCR, CLI and hospital census are lower or as low as they've ever been. This shows in the trend index (28)
More of the same in Region 3 with the lowest Viral and PCR test percentages they've had yet and a hospital occupancy that is back down after a slight bump last week. The result is a 5 point drop this week in the trend index over last.
Huge drop in Region 4. Hurricane Covid has been downgraded to a depression in all the indicators. Viral labs and PCR tests have fallen to 11.5% from 13 and 13.3% respectively while CLI is down from 4.7 to 3.8%. The index dropped 20 points. Most definitely winding down in the S.E.
Region 5 is a hoverer. Some spots that never really got hit hard are mostly lingering. Not a huge concern as there is no signs of getting worse, just taking its time in burning out. Testing and CLI are all staying stagnant. Five straight weeks of 5.4% in viral lab reports.
Region 6, like Region 4, is coming down fast. Precipitous drops in CLI, test percentages and hospitalizations as index fell from 171 to 146 in a week. Look for a similar drop for next week.
Region 7 is another that hasn't been hit hard and as a result, is just sort of hovering. Hasn't shown signs of worsening much despite hospital occupancy creeping up.
Region 8 saw early indicators in testing and CLI drop a bit this week, which could suggest hospitalizations will fall more next week than it did.
We've been preaching about the fall in Arizona (@Hold2LLC has been covering this better than anyone). It's happening in California and Nevada too. The unfortunate truth is Hawaii is not so lucky, as it's finally taking its turn, but the rest of the region is falling like a rock.
Finally, Region 10. Although reported deaths have come up quite a bit the last few weeks, there are signs it won't last long with CLI dropping a ton since then and viral percent is down a lot this week. Should be good news ahead also for R10.
