, 4 tweets, 2 min read
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A new and improved CDC provisional death chart by date of death and date added with all necessary indicators attached. I have a key to explain each column in the second tweet. I will update this at the end of every week as the indicator data is usually updated Friday.
Here is the key and explanation of columns
Pay close attention to all indicators but especially look at CLI and Hosp columns two weeks behind "predict." The 6,975 projection under predict for Aug. 8 will correspond to 25,898 in "Hosp" for July 25. That has decreased to 22,138 projected and 16,320 projected last 2 weeks.
Generally, deaths have been running 25-35% of the hospitalization column. EIP is a little lower than other hospital estimates for about 3 reasons, which I won't bore you with details here, but you can project next two weeks at a 13 week predict forecast of 25% hosp for Aug 1/8
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