Thread by @charles_gaba

LAWN SIGN REPORT (anecdotal, signs don't vote, etc etc): Spent the past week delivering Biden signs around the Birmingham/Bloomfield area of Oakland County, MI...one of the white, affluent, college educated, historically GOP suburbs which shifted blue HARD in 2018. 1/

I wrote about this area in a 2016 postmortem here: dailykos.com/stories/2016/1… 2/

In 2008, the B'ham/Blfld. area went for McCain over Obama by 3.8 points (51.4% to 47.6%).

In 2012, it went for Romney by over 16 points over Obama...but again, this is Romney's hometown.

In 2016, they went for Hillary over Trump...but only by 2.5 points (48.8% to 46.3%). 3/

As I noted in my 2016 postmortem, Hillary's "suburban college-educated white women will be disgusted by Trump" approach *DID* work to some degree...just not by enough:

"I saw a *lot* of Trump signs in front of million-dollar McMansions while out canvassing." 4/

In 2018, everything Hillary had HOPED would happen in 2016 *did* happen in affluent suburbs like B'ham/Blfld and around the country: The suburbs flipped a BUNCH of races blue. In our area, we not only elected Gretchen Whitmer, Dana Nessel, Jocelyn Benson & Debbie Stabenow... 5/

...but we also flipped #MI11 w/@RepHaleyStevens (as well as #MI08 @RepSlotkin farther out), as well as flipping both of the state Senate seats in the area (electing @MalloryMcMorrow & @rosemarybayer) *and* the state House seat w/@MariManoogian (who spoke at the DNC.) 6/

With all this as backstory, what's the situation today? Well, again, signs don't vote/anecdotal only, AND we're still over 2 months out from election day (some communities don't let you put signs out more than 30 days before election day). HAVING SAID ALL THAT... 7/

...as of yesterday, in addition to the 130+ Biden signs which I've personally delivered to private residences, I've seen several dozen other Biden signs scattered around the B'ham/Blfld region as well.

Number of Trump signs I've seen so far? Zero. None. Zilch. 8/

Again, it's still early. Perhaps they haven't been delivered yet. Perhaps they'll post them later. Perhaps they're just too embarrassed/afraid of the stigma to put theirs out.

I *have* seen a handful of John James signs (he's the GOP Senate candidate running vs. Gary Peters). 9/

AGAIN, none of this means a damned thing. A week from now hundreds of Trump signs might have popped up around the area as well. If so, that'd just mean Biden got theirs delivered a couple weeks earlier than Trump (shrug).

But it was heartening for a brief moment, anyway. /END

OH YEAH: IF YOU LIVE ANYWHERE IN OAKLAND COUNTY and want a #BidenHarris lawn sign, you can get one here for a small donation to the @OaklandDems: secure.actblue.com/donate/ocdpbid…

(and if you live in Birmingham, Bloomfield Hills, Bloomfield Township, Beverly Hills, Bingham Farms or Franklin Village, I might even deliver it personally!)

While I'm at it, you can help Oakland County Democrats by donating to some of their races here as well!
secure.actblue.com/donate/blueoak…

Speaking of Oakland County, PLEASE chip in a few bucks to help @VotePulver (HD39), @voteKellyBreen (HD38), @VoteBreadonMI43 (HD43), @barbanness2020 (HD45) & @JodyLamacchia (HD46) flip the Michigan House Blue! We only need to net 4 seats! #FlipMIHouseBlue secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…