Thread by @jpr007

@Goldfiinger77 We had better start at the highest level

The world consumes 534,000 PetaJoules PJ of Energy every year

Let us assume this eventually converts to being all supplied by Electricity

In a waste-free world this shows we need 210,000 PJ of Energy to accomplish the required Work

@Goldfiinger77 Most of the existing Wasted Energy comes from using Fossil Fuels

So as we replace these sources with Renewable Energy the Waste will go down

So :

- let us assume real demand growth to 300,000 PJ

- and medium-term continued Waste of 100,000 PJ down from 290,000 PJ

@Goldfiinger77 This gives us annual Energy Usage of 400,000 PJ

400,000 PJ = 111.1 x 10^15 Wh = 111, 100 TWh per year

This averages out to 304 TWh per day

This chart shows peak production of Storage Batteries at around 3,500 GWh per year = 3.5 TWh per year

@Goldfiinger77 One day’s use of Electrical Energy is probably about the right order of magnitude for Lithium-ion Battery Storage capacity

- but at a production rate of 3,500 GWh per year it would take about 87 years to build that capacity

@Goldfiinger77 If we set a goal of 20 years instead, the required production rate would be about 15,200 GWh Storage Battery production per year

- or 4.3x the peak level shown on that chart

And that peak level is not even reached until 18 years from now

So :

- TOO SLOW

- TOO SMALL

@Goldfiinger77 @threadreaderapp unroll