About right 
I'm not sure how much an "improving" economy will help Trump. For one thing, the most predictive measurement of growth in the past has been annual change in a variety of indicators, which is almost certain to still be negative in Nov. For another, this: thecrosstab.substack.com/p/polls-sugges…
There's also a poll sci lit Q here. We have observed almost 0 correlation between Trump's approval ratings and readings of economic growth AND consumer sentiment over the past 4 years. The hypothesis that bad economy = bad for the president might not work out this time.
I feel that Trump has already run out of time to convince voters that he can make the economy better — and esp that he can handle a crisis. I don't buy the argument that Q3 GDP growth alone (which likely won't get us to positive YoY change) is going to turn things around 4 him
I used to hear this a lot before the crash in March, but the fact is that since then Trump's approval ratings have remained much stronger than we would predict based on the unemployment rate and consumer sentiment
Maybe that's because people don't blame Trump for the economic situation we're in (and that's partially the right move IMO) but I think it's more likely that partisanship has caused a disconnect bt economic conditions and presidential evaluations.
And maybe this will spill over to Trump out-performing the economic "fundamentals" in Nov -- we'll see.
