Post

@maristpoll

@maristpoll

More from @TimInHonolulu

Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Apr 2

1. Random facts occasionally haunt me. A recent report that I think I heard on MSNBC said that Trump was not spending on a Michigan ground game. That struck me as so odd it lingered in my mind while I ponder to find some way to explain it.

2. Tonight on @11thHour I think I may have heard something that may explain what Trump is planning. If this pans out, the good news is that he thinks he's going to lose and is preparing for his next grift. On @SRuhle's hour there was discussion of Trump rallies and how they

3. have changed. He goes off script at the end of the rally that turns into a what was describe as something similar to a religious gathering. My first thought was it was the antitheses of the kind of general election play that expands the voter base but then it hit me.

Read 4 tweets

Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Mar 31

1. I find it unlikely that people like Scott Perry, who I think was part of a military coup plot, did not raise presidential immunity in the grand jury. I've watched several dockets in the DC Cir and I think at least one or two have made it to SCOTUS based on the

2. timing of sealed filings in the DC record. Could there already be a full discussion of the POTUS immunity in a sealed opinion? SCOTUS would all be aware of the case that might explain the liberals remaining quiet while the court as a whole moved the case slowly to conclusion

3. at the end of the term. They may want to announce it and get out of town fast when the MAGA horde goes off its rocker. I'm starting to think that the case that may be lurking is the kidnapping and/or assassination of Mike Pence. Pence made his tepid denouncement of Trump on

Read 6 tweets

Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Mar 24

1.Since 2014, I have consistently expressed my belief that Russia and ISIS (nka Daesh) were connected. Today, Daesh thrives in an area of Syria that is protected from US strikes due to a US deconfliction agreement with Russia.

2. Let's watch and see if Russia does anything to disturb Daesh in this area. The reporting on the attack and the fact that AMAQ is reporting in the manner it has not previously reported is consistent with my view that Russia and Daesh are at least tacitly affiliated.

3. Putin's clumsy attempt to claim this as a Ukrainian operation despite the fact that the US raised the alarm is consistent with this conclusion. It also may evidence that Putin is becoming increasingly desperate and turning to dangerous poorly planned operations to gain

Read 5 tweets

Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Mar 23

1. Bankruptcy is often used to perform the function of orderly liquidation of debtor assets to pay creditors through a process optimized to keep costs of liquidation low. Take a hotel that cannot be reorganized but needs to be sold. If a judgment creditor holding a huge

2. judgment levies execution and sell it on the courthouse steps it often gets a pittance where the sale is subject to senior liens and encumbrances. But in a bankruptcy section 11 USC 363(f) sale, the property can be marketed and, best of all, be sold free

3.and clear of any liens or encumbrances. For Trump to simply roll over and allow the AG to start selling his properties is totally insane. I can think of a few reasons why he might cave and the first may be that the scrutiny that bankruptcy brings might expose the real source

Read 8 tweets

Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Mar 23

1. The capture of the alleged ISIS-K terrorists near Belarus makes perfect sense if Putin had planned this. He would be able to control information near the attack to make sure the attackers escaped but if he gave orders far beyond Moscow to allow them to escape at the border

2. that could risk the plan being exposed. So the dutiful Russian border forces did not stand down and when they saw the something suspicious made the stop then posted it, likely to Telegram, that the Kremlin uses and thus has opened a portal that can disrupt planning.

3. And because the group is not really ISIS , who would be wearing explosive suicide vests and never be captured, at least one was captured. Now Putin's plan is going to be at risk of unraveling with only the well-meaning but uniformed and easily manipulated western media to

Read 4 tweets

Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Mar 21

1. When the the liens start hitting Trump assets and he's forced to sit for debtor exams the truth will emerge that the NY case has exposed, not just the instances of fraud in the allegations raised therein, but that his entire "empire" is simply a grift. I seriously doubt there

2. is more than $100m in equity once the costs of liquidation are deducted from sales proceeds. His fee burn in the litigation will eat that up in short order. I also suspect that he can't find sufficient unrestricted cash to retain a competent bankruptcy firm to try to save

3. what's left. It's worth noting that his lack of self-control to avoid public attacks on one of his rape victims that led to the E Jean Carroll judgments may have been a major contributing factor in his financial demise but it also came at a time the commercial real estate

Read 7 tweets

Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

Tim Hogan 浩勤

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

More from @TimInHonolulu

Tim Hogan 浩勤

Tim Hogan 浩勤

Tim Hogan 浩勤

Tim Hogan 浩勤

Tim Hogan 浩勤

Tim Hogan 浩勤

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Send Email!