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Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
@TimInHonolulu
Sep 8, 2020 • 3 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
I'm going to make a prediction that in a few weeks the @maristpoll will publish a correction regarding their @NBCNews amplified poll released today. It will go mostly unnoticed. @FiveThirtyEight
Do we know of #maristpoll requires that all their polling personnel use land lines to make the calls? If not, a state-level actor like the #SVR #GRU could intercept their cellphone calls and redirect to a Russian boiler room. You people have no clue who you are dealing with.
If you were able to hack five polling workers' phones and if they each did 100 calls, you could skew the poll. @maristpoll should look at their polling data to see if any workers who were using cell phones had an statistically significant skew towards Trump. Then call the NSA.

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More from @TimInHonolulu

Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Feb 28
I've seen some recent posts that claim that Musk has used his Tesla shares as collateral in large loans to finance his other operations. If that is true, it's possible that Tesla share's slide has put him at risk of a default that could mean he loses everything in an instant.
I think Tesla is now domiciled in Texas and if that is so the lenders would likely have control agreements in place with Tesla that requires them to follow the lenders' instructions in the event of a default, What we need to know is, what are the loan covenants?
If there is a price floor that the lenders can call the loan or require additional collateral then, as Musk continues destroy the Tesla brand, that he has rebranded as a Nazi front, the price will slide to a point that shareholders begin to panic and sell to keep from being
Read 4 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Feb 16
The @GOP will collapse on itself when Trump reveals he's precisely who we thought he was: Putin's stooge and the enemy of democracy. Shun those who would cede US power and moral authority to a defeated degenerate Russian mass murderer.
First, everyone must cut the cord and destroy @FoxNews and the other propaganda organs the cable industry forces us to subsidize. Listen to @MSNBC on @tunein until the network is free from the burden of subsidizing the corporate enemies of democracy. Prepare to cut the cord.
@FoxNews @MSNBC @tunein A cheap antena gets most local stations. With their revenue in peril the cable industry will be forced to terminate Fox's and other propagandist subsidies we're forced to pay. If we don't have the will to perform these small acts of resistance, then we are already defeated.
Read 5 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Dec 28, 2024
Everyone calls Musk the richest person in the world because it's easy to count his @tesla shares and multiply them by the share price. But that doesn't mean Musk has the most cash or that he could ever realize
the cash value because, to do it, he'd have to sell shares and the price would fall. Wealth is a term that needs definition. Owning a load of land in a country like Germany might make one "wealthy" but the taxes and
limits on alienation might make it difficult to turn the wealth into cash. Do we really think Musk is wealthier than the Saudi royals? Remember when Musk bought Twitter? I had a few shares so I got the SEC-mandated
Read 9 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Dec 2, 2024
HTS knows that their leader has a drone strike target pined to his tunic. His complicity with Turkey is apparent. The board is being reset. Military aircraft do no appear to be moving but yesterday and today show a large number of executive jets in the region that tells me
the players are talking but don't trust the phone. That could mean that what they are planning bad for the west. After Israel's brutal treatment of Palestinian civilians it was only a matter of time for the retaliatory blood letting to begin.
The Kurds, Christians and Yazidis appear to be the targets. I still don't have trustworthy data on SNA and HTS force size and capability. With all the noise on social media I find it shocking that there is nothing on this critical data.
Read 4 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Nov 28, 2024
I spotted the Kremlin sock puppets during the 2016 campaign because I'd seen them while covering Ukraine. What I have seen recently on Twitter aka X is that Generative AI is being used to steer the tariff discussion. I don't have time or the will to engage so I
simply block the accounts once I am relatively sure of their origin. My suspicion is that the tariff absurdity is straight out of the SVR and Trump adopted it as a condition of Elmo being the Kremlin source of cash to win the election. I think Trump is backing away from Elmo
not just because he doesn't like sharing the spotlight but also because he may be getting warnings, similar to what he got after he was sworn, about Flynn that were the result of nitwits like Flynn and now Musk not knowing how FISA works.
Read 5 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Nov 3, 2024
1. I have supported a two-state solution to the conflict in #Palestine for my entire life. I agree that #Netanyahu's conduct of the war in #Gaza violated the the law of armed conduct and could support charges of #genocide. I don't believe that #Arab and
2. other #Muslim Americans' lives will be somehow improved if #Trump is elected.
Political power comes from coalitions. Working on campaigns, being reliable partners when the call comes is how my #Irish ancestors gained political power.
3. Using threats to not vote as leverage against the only party that protects you only serves to isolate your vital growing part of the electorate from becoming a powerful voice in American politics. We support you. It's now time for you to support the cause.
Read 4 tweets

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