2M acres of California have burned so far this year

But *4.4 - 12M* acres (!) burned each year in *pre-industrial* times

It is gross misinformation to blame climate change for our fires
And scientists in February 2020 concluded that California needs to burn 20M acres to restabilize forest ecology

“Of the hundreds of persons who visit the Pacific slope of California every summer to see the mountains,” reported a U.S. government scientist in 1898, who had surveyed the region, “few see more than the immediate foreground and a haze of smoke.”

Last month, @GavinNewsom and @realDonaldTrump signed an agreement to treat 1M acres/year of California's forests through 2025

Where @GavinNewsom could have promoted this agreement as a case of rare bipartisan agreement he is instead engaging in misleading alarmism that has polarized the American people & prevented pragmatic action.
Top forest scientists:

- Smoke in the air is a function of wood fuel density, not area burned

- Climate change is "not the cause of the intensity of the fires. The cause of that is fire suppression & the existing debt of wood fuel.”

New York Times:

1899: “California Forests Burned - Fire Which Started a Week Ago Has Traversed 700,000 Acres & Cannot Be Controlled”

1895: “The bluish haze [in San Fran] brooded everywhere and to many, the trouble was just fog. But it was real smoke that rode in on the winds”
1894: “The Cause of the Hazy Air - All Due to the Unusual Prevalence of Forest Fires”

“Similar conditions have been noticed in the past... In 1881 there was another dark day. In 1781 the smoke was so dense that many persons thought the day of judgment had come.”
1860: “It’s hot – monstrous hot!” wrote the San Francisco correspondent. “An unusual thing for San Francisco.... Don't remember three such days in five years past, which is about as long as anybody can remember anything and remember it well.”

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More from @ShellenbergerMD

7 Sep
@KamalaHarris Hi Kamala,

California resident here

3M people could lose their power & A/C tonight, which is dangerous

Do you think it still makes sense to shut down our reliable nuclear plants and try to rely so heavily on solar, which stops producing electricity just as peak demand begins?
Read 7 tweets
4 Sep
Britain is set to close 14 of its 15 nuclear reactors by 2030

Now, the UK and @BorisJohnson have major opportunity to lead the West on nuclear energy

Time to go big or go home

My latest with @ChrisBarnardDL
@Telegraph — please share!

@BorisJohnson @ChrisBarnardDL @Telegraph At some point in the next two weeks, the Johnson government will decide whether to build two new nuclear reactors at the Sizewell nuclear plant in Suffolk or abandon those plans for a risky experiment with Rolls-Royce.
Blood, sweat, and tears have been shed building the advanced nuclear reactor design known as the EPR in Finland, France, and at Hinkley Point in Britain.
Read 29 tweets
3 Sep
If you care so much about plastic waste polluting the environment then why aren't you advocating for higher economic growth in poor nations so they have the money to build the waste-management systems required to prevent plastic from escaping into the environment?

Plastic waste in the oceans comes from

- poor nations that lack waste collection

- rich nations that dump plastics on poor ones by deceiving themselves that their plastics will be recycled when they often are not
It's great that people are raising the alarm, again, about rich nations dumping plastics on poor nations, but people should remember that this is because:

- poor nations lack waste-management systems rich nations take for granted

- we irrationally think plastic must be recycled
Read 6 tweets
31 Aug
Most everything they say about plastic waste is wrong:

- ocean biodegrades 99.9% of it

- bioplastics worse than fossil-plastics

- landfill & incineration better than recycling

Nobody likes waste but it's wrong to deny plastics to poor nations

In a front-page story in today's @nytimes @HirokoTabuchi @mccorkery5 @CarlosMureithi suggest that that plastic waste is, or should be, a high-priority for poor African nations, and that the best way to deal with it is by not having plastic at all.

In fact, poor nations in Africa need to use more, not less plastic, since doing so will improve people’s lives, just as plastic has improved people’s lives in developed nations for over a half-century.
Read 29 tweets
27 Aug
Hurricanes not becoming more frequent

Deaths from disasters are at an all-time low

Higher cost of disasters is due to greater wealth, not worse weather

No science for claims that climate will increase disaster deaths

My latest @Forbes — please share!

@Forbes Just 2,900 people lost their lives in natural disasters in the first half of 2020

That's far fewer than the average for same period during last 30 years or last 10 years

That's on top of a 92% decline in the decadal death toll from natural disasters since its peak in the 1920s
@Forbes There's been no increase in the frequency of hurricanes

And the US government’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts the max. intensity of Atlantic hurricanes and tropical storms will rise 5% in the 21st Century, but their frequency will decline 25%
Read 4 tweets
24 Aug
California's fires are *not* "unprecedented"

Fires did *not* destroy ancient redwood forest

Forests, including redwoods, *need* fire for new life

Fires have declined 80% since

Please stop blaming climate change for everything

This viral tweet with 7.5k retweets by @dwallacewells claiming that fires have destroyed ancient redwoods is misinformation

David, you should delete it, apologize, and come camping with me in our redwoods so you can learn some basic forest ecology

@dwallacewells According to scientists, 4.4M acres/year of Calif. burned before the arrival of Europeans

The annual area burned has declined over 80%

Today, a big fire year means that 1.5M acres burned

That's not necessarily progress

Fire is often good not bad!

Learn your ecology, people!
Read 23 tweets

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