Dan Kelly Profile picture
9 Sep, 16 tweets, 2 min read
I've been asked a lot of what would happen to small business if a second wave of COVID-19 prompts a further round of economic shutdowns. Here are a few thoughts.
1. In March, governments bluntly shutdown most of the small business economy in order to protect society. Support programs to help small firms survive were just not in place. This was, to an extent, understandable.
2. It took months to get programs up and running and governments did quite a poor job of listening to what was needed. But, with some programs like the wage subsidy, they got there.
3. But 6 months into the pandemic, and there remain major gaps. Far too many firms still struggle get access to a very basic $40,000 LOAN to keep their lights on.
Rent support remains a big mess, with very few qualified firms getting the help they were promised. Again, 6 months after the start of the pandemic.
Almost a third of small firms remain closed or are partially closed (like most restaurants). Three-quarters have sales far off normal levels. Many report they are losing money everyday they are open.
Now, provinces are beginning to shut-down sectors once again, such as BC's shutdown of nightclubs and banquet halls.
While I am not in a position to pass judgement on decision from a health care perspective, I am able to comment on the economic fallout.
At this stage, there are no excuses for governments not to get this right. And get it right immediately. If governments need to shutdown businesses once again, serious economic supports will be needed for affected sectors on day 1.
Typically wages and rent are the biggest expense lines for most small businesses. Ongoing support for both will be needed if governments decide a firm needs to close to protect society.
Forgivable loans are also needed to help small firms cover other expenses.
While I am praying no additional shut-downs will be necessary, I want to ensure any such announcements include what government will be doing to help the business survive.
And any new essential services rule needs to be administered fairly - ensuring it does not give an advantage to one size or model of business. The retail rules in March gave Amazon and big box stores with grocery aisles a massive advantage over small retailers.
CFIB will be watching carefully over the fall, working to fix the gaps in current programs & advocating for all small firms every single day.
If you have been pleased with our work so far, I'd love to have your independent business as a member. Even if you cannot afford a fee right now, we welcome your participation. cfib-fcei.ca/en/cfib-introd….
My team of 400 staff have taken over 50,000 individual calls from business owners since the start of this crazy year - an all time record. We've served nearly 10,000 business owners who were not CFIB members. We have capacity to help you too.

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More from @CFIB

20 Aug
While it is good news that EI rates are frozen for 2 years and the new benefits are temporary (for now), CFIB's biggest concern is that a worker can now collect $400 per week for a half-year if they've been working a part-time job with 3 hours a week (or less).
So my part-time job in high school (washing dishes at a pizza place for 3 hours each Friday night) would qualify me to collect over $10,000 if I decide NOT to work.
Small firms in retail, hospitality, arts/recreation & the service sector were the hardest hit by COVID-19. Now that they are allowed to open, many will struggle to get their part-timers back, making them more vulnerable to bankruptcy & slowing Canada's economic recovery.
Read 6 tweets
1 Jul
As more municipalities announce mandatory masks/face coverings, CFIB asks for care and consideration for small businesses trying to implement any new rules.
Most business owners I've spoken to are quite willing to post a sign asking customers to wear a mask and remind them at the door or in the business.
The problem is any requirement for a small business to enforce mandatory masks for people who may be unwilling or unable to wear one.
Read 8 tweets
1 Apr
CFIB believes a properly designed wage subsidy is the single best measure govt can take to (a) protect/stress on employees (b) ensure the viability of SMEs through the crisis & (c) ensure the economy can quickly recover by getting people back to work immediately after the crisis.
But we have heard concerns from small business on how the 30% revenue drop test may not work in practice.
1. New businesses without a track record; 2. low margin firms where even a small drop in sales can require major layoffs; 3. revenue recognition rules showing income that might never be received or which doesn't bring in cash;
Read 10 tweets
28 Mar
While it would have been better to provide the details of the expanded wage subsidy for SMEs at the announcement yesterday, it was critical that government share its intention to do so immediately.
I've heard from many small biz owners that they put their layoff plans on hold as soon as the announcement was out. Others have been holding on, hoping the announcement would come.
For others, it will be too late as they've already laid off staff. While some may bring them back on payroll, I suspect most won't be in that position.
Read 17 tweets
17 Mar
#COVID19 small business stories: Here is a selection of stories from CFIB members on the economic impacts of the pandemic.
We are a dog boarding facility & spring break is our busiest time other than summer as clients are travelling on longer trips. We were completely full and w a waiting list 2 weeks ago. As travel has been shut down, we've had almost 75% of our bookings cancel.
We use this surplus cash flow to help sustain us through more sluggish months until summer hits. We are cutting staff hours & may lay off some of them, but our overhead costs will still remain and could cripple our business.
Read 15 tweets

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