"Wie geht es weiter? Diese Vorlage des Umweltausschuss wird im Plenum des EP im Oktober abgestimmt. Danach müssen wir das Gesetz mit den nationalen Umweltminister*innen verhandeln."
Q: wie können wir vorhersehbare Sabotage verhindern? Wie gehen die vor? Was setzen wir dagegen?✊
Vonderleyen + Union werden verhindern wollen, dass EU-Kommission @TimmermansEU 2021 ein EU-Restbudget noch vor der Bt-Wahl vorlegt.
Bisher arbeiteten CDU CSU mit Hinhaltetaktik, mit wiederholtem inFragestellen von Beschlüssen, mit gelenkten KleinKlein-Debatten, mit Geheimnissen
Das Restbudget in Gt muss VOR der BT-Wahl mindestens im öffentlichen Raum diskutiert werden, damit klar wird, wie weit entfernt davon die Sabotage-Koalition seit 2016 war. So werden jene Boomer sie nicht mehr wählen, denen die Schöpfung und Mitmenschlichkeit wirklich wichtig war.
Also. Bereiten wir uns auf den Kampf gegen die Sabotage vor. Wie machen wir das? Wie kriegen wir die von @TimmermansEU vorzulegenden Gt in den meinungsbildenden Raum, sodass genug Zeit bleibt, die CDUCSU-Wähler davon abzubringen, ihre Stimme noch mal der Sabotage zu geben?
Ideen?
Also ab heute genau Buch zu führen,
* wie der Ausschuss-Vorschlag bis Oktober in welchen Medien und von welchen Köpfen wie gehandelt wird
* welche Ablenkungen lanciert werden
* wie es nach dem hoffentl. EP-Beschluss weiter geht
Diese ganzen Tonnen, die @SvenjaSchulze68 leugnet, gehören in den öffentlichen Raum und verstanden. @rahmstorf neuer Vortrag hat 3 Folien, aber jede mit anderem Bezugsjahr /Erwärmungsgrad.😖
Auch Equity muss erklärt und beispielhaft in Gt abgezogen werden
Equity ist kein frommer Wunsch, sondern die Armutsbekämpfung, die arme Staaten mit dem zusätzlichen Stahl, Zement & Kohlestrom leisten sollen, dient auch unsrer nationalen und EU-Stabilität. Wohlhabendere leiden nich so lange an Wetterkatastrophen wie Arme ...und flüchten später
Zur Equity-Illustration nehm ich tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…
Die rechnet ab 2014😖😁und daraus geht hervor, dass das EU-Budget für 1.5C in 2019 alle war, das für 2C in 2027 bei BAU.
Schön schockierend😱
Finanzierter ERSATZ von CO2-Quellen in Global South geht aber ja auch noch. Puh!
Der graue Text umreisst #Equity-Ansatz, um den fairen Anteil an allen Treibhausgasen zu ermitteln. Brasiliens Waldrodung ist berücksichtigt, Heizung in Russland, mehr Transport in dünner Besiedlung uvm.
Anm.: Equity senkt Armut/Klimaflucht, dient Stabilität und #NationalSecurity
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Even renaissance societies relied on extraction, international trade and specialisation.
But rekindled societies after the collapse only have non-useful know-how at first, resulting in caveman-level of useful sophistication
– *and* again rely on fossil and wood fuel for even the most basic tasks.
I agree with Robert Harris' "Second Sleep" where only population outside metropolitan areas survive the famine and violence. How could we today help the survivors to rekindle a *sustainable* organisation?
Which cultures r likely to rekindle societal organisation beyond tribes? IMO non-urban S-America. How to bolster those future attempts today, paper knowledge caches? How to curate that knowledge for its likely usefulness? "When there's no pharma industry: medicine for dummies"...
The soft-sci troubadours sing about degrowth and doughnuts. Ballads of soft "transitions" to utopia. Risk awareness can't grow because these ballads are about a far-away time, not heeding the requirements of today's breeched planetary boundaries/budget.
I spent lotsa time deciphering the climate of the Pliocene or MIS11 and listening to ballads of "transitions" to utopia.
Assuming that this surely was what I need to know.
But neither physicists nor troubadours cover what would have raised my risk-awareness to reality-levels.
Intriguing.
A long drought prevailed AD 500ff in East Mediterranean & Arab Peninsula. Might've been in more regions but these I know of.
The 1st plague epidemic from rat fleas began in Kush/Egypt 541-549 and culled MENA & Europe.
Long droughts cause (death, war and) migration..
Did (the aftermath of) the drought fuel epidemic spread? Likely. Drought weakens states, workers flee, wars ensue, armies carry🪲everywhere.
Did Kush experience drought, too? Was the (onset of the) pandemic even caused by rats' or human behaviour that was influenced by drought?
What human or rat behaviour would trigger rat fleas to jump and infect humans?
I'd imagine you need lots of rats to increase the chances of a few infected fleas to jump. These rats need food and also be brave enough to run around in the immediate vicinity of humans.
Hm.
Intriguing is that Chile's citizens turned out to be the most risk-aware in this international Facebook survey. Of its 19mio citizens, 1094 took part in the survey and 60-70% know they'll be harmed personally by climate change.
This is the level of awareness we need!
The survey was conducted in Mar-Apr 2022, ~6 months after election and 1 month after inauguration of new left govt. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Chil…
I don't know anything of the talking points during their election. The only thing I know is, they now have a cli-sci as new EP secretary.
It might be that election campaigns were based on climate by all candidates and that this has in turn heightened the climate-awareness and the so important risk-awareness so much so that 60-70% rightly assume personal harm from climate change.
2 more awareness-factors could be
Impressive.
...
I think.
Really.
But if you're like me & want to know the underlying "model narratives", (that's how modellers call their policy recommendations buried in their models) that reduce demand, it's disappointing. Meaning I can't gauge sufficiency nor practicability
The authors do say in their "conclusions" that future research is needed to put the naked numbers into policy practice – but ask yourself: if they didn't decide which policies should be enacted (the "model narratives"), then how could they calculate energy requirements at all?
Anyway. So the authors did enact policies and then calculated that their best scenario of 4 can reduce end energy demand from 2020 lvl by 52% for UK.
Same reduction potential is named in German & global studies just by moving to RE, tho.
Also: 8% nature NET is unacceptable.