Something about the U.S. response to COVID has been bothering me, and it goes well beyond the president's own failures. In this new essay, I explore how anti-Trump narratives misled Americans about how exceptional we were—or weren't

[Thread]

wisdomofcrowds.live/is-trump-respo…
Media outlets endlessly pushed an all-consuming narrative—that America's handling of COVID was uniquely bad and that Americans themselves were incapable of collective action. If only we could be more like Europe! These assertions are misleading, at best. They are also wrong.
Mainstream outlets weren't lying. They did excellent, mostly accurate reporting. But facts can be accurate while distorting our sense of what's real. One example is how infections and deaths were reported, without adjusting for population

wisdomofcrowds.live/is-trump-respo…
Americans were also hurt by the nationalization of news in a country that was starting to look like 50 individual units, with drastically different COVID caseloads and policies. Most of us were following the national numbers, but were those the most relevant metric?
After the second wave affecting states like Florida and Texas, the numbers seemed terrible—and they were. Panic was understandable. But if you were in, say, Maryland, the alarming figures from Texas weren't necessarily relevant to your own daily precautions and risk calculus
So you basically had this weird situation where, because COVID became partisan problem with Trump at the fore, everything was nationalized. But this was akin to a German in Bavaria reading about rising cases in France and then changing his mind about going to his local restaurant
It's good to be anti-Trump. But it's not good to let anti-Trumpism distort your coverage. Every day, national news promoted the (incorrect) narrative that the US was uniquely bad at fighting COVID. People, especially liberals, trusted the narrative and it led to unjustified panic
In my experience, friends and acquaintances who are the most alarmist about COVID are the *least* aware of what DC's daily case counts are. They're closer to Germany than they are to Florida—in other words, they're very low

wisdomofcrowds.live/is-trump-respo…
Since our May 1 peak, DC testing has gone up 600%, yet daily cases are *down* by 86%. But to even know that you actually have to spend time looking for the information on specialized websites and doing your own calculations
Daily cases as a percentage of total population in #Germany (the most impressive for a large EU country) are .001%. In #DC, the comparable number is .008%. Yet, there are still young, non-immunocompromised people who will only do "socially distanced" meetups, whatever that means
"Hygiene theater" has become the norm across the country despite CDC guidance that surface contact is not a primary means of transmission. COVID alarmism isn't actually about fighting COVID; it's about performative acts to stave off fear and uncertainty: wisdomofcrowds.live/is-trump-respo…

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More from @shadihamid

30 Aug
NPR did a service by publishing the interview on 'In Defense of Looting.' I don't mean that in a snarky way. Bad ideas should get a platform, especially when they represent a significant segment of public or elite opinion
Of course, actual defenders of looting are a numerical fringe. But sympathy for looting and rioting is is more common among privileged elites. Mainstream journalists, including at places like @nytimes, have been coyly legitimizing certain kinds of violence as not actually violent
So let's not dance around these issues, considering how important they are. If you think widespread property damage and destruction of communities can be justified in the name of "justice," then come out with the full argument, and let's judge it on the merits
Read 10 tweets
25 Aug
I thought I was crazy—or maybe my contrarianism had run amok—but after thinking about it more and furtive text messages from liberal friends, it seems that the worries about November are more prevalent than would have appeared from last night's snarky, dismissive coverage
Yes, I admit: I'm naturally suspicious when all the lefties, liberals, journalists on my feed are all making fun about how stupid and terrible the RNC speeches were. My instinct then is to assume that if enough "experts" think this, they must be at least partly wrong
While I was watching the RNC speeches and simultaneously reading the Twitter commentary, I kept on thinking to myself: are we watching the same convention?
Read 6 tweets
18 Aug
My thoughts on the Israel-UAE peace agreement:

Not historic. Not particularly important. And a reminder of why Israel, one of the region's few democracies, prefers that its Arab neighbors *not* be democratic Image
The Israeli-Palestinian conflict isn't central. "Solving" it would be good, but it wouldn't address the region's fundamental problems. If Arab-Israeli peace happened, it would bring together Arab autocrats + Israel, none of whom want to see Arab citizens make their own decisions
Israel's anti-democratic foreign policy should be a major concern for U.S. policymakers because of its broader regional effects. If the U.S. ever got serious about supporting Arab democracy, Israel would see that as an existential threat—just as it did during the Arab Spring
Read 4 tweets
24 Jul
My new column—part of a series we're calling "First Drafts":

Is democracy its own end, or a means to other things we hold dear? Is there a way to promote democracy abroad *without* promoting liberalism?

wisdomofcrowds.substack.com/p/first-draft-…
Some additional thoughts based on some of the replies. First, democracy is good even if it leads to bad outcomes. We've become so used to seeing democracy & liberalism as intertwined that we've lost sight of why democracy, as a set of mechanisms and procedures, is so valuable 1/
Why is democracy good even when it doesn't bring about liberal outcomes? Democracy allows for peaceful transfer of power, particularly in ideologically polarized contexts. As a system of conflict regulation, it contributes to long-term, if not necessarily short-term, stability 2/
Read 7 tweets
10 Jul
Mass atrocities are happening against the Muslim Uighur population in China—in full view of the world. Details are too shocking to recount here. Yet little is said and even less done. And it presents us with an indictment of the international system
Like so many other things that seems hopeless, what China is doing as we speak has receded into the background and become a "new normal." How did this come to be? @dmarusic and I went back and forth in an attempt to answer that question: wisdomofcrowds.substack.com/p/do-we-care-a…
@dmarusic, who is Croatian-American, writes:

"More personally, having watched the wars of the 1990s in the Balkans, it became clear how low a priority human life plays in politics"
Read 8 tweets
7 Jul
1/ Is wokeness or "cancel culture" the most important thing in the world? Of course not. Is it important? Yes. I've struggled with how to respond. Initially, I considered just staying out of it. Recently, I've been reflecting on why I care about it more than others who I respect
2/ First, even though I'm not the most religious person, I am a believer. For me, that means being suspicious of secular claims to religious certainty. I discuss this in greater detail here:

wisdomofcrowds.substack.com/p/how-anti-wok… Image
3/ I wasn't sure, at first, that my belief in God was directly related to my discomfort with woke posturing. But I kept on coming back to the religious mimicry of it all. At a gut level, it just felt very wrong, even if I couldn't always describe why
Read 7 tweets

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