Rounding out another week of #COVID data - might be a good time to do a deeper dive into the numbers.

Optimistic 🧵 ahead...

First up - it was a good week. Holiday lag may have had some impact, but cases, hospitalizations, and deaths all fell from a week prior. 1/ Image
In our previous major hotspots, cases per million people have seen precipitous falls. Testing, while not at peak levels, has not fallen as much as cases (especially outside of Florida) 2/ Image
Currently hospitalized populations support the case declines. Down nearly 70% in the latest hotspots, and trending down more gently outside those 4 states. 3/

cc: @EricTopol, @DemFromCT Image
Hospitalizations are heading in the right direction across the country, though that decline is only marginal in the Midwest of late. 4/ Image
6 states are dealing with currently hospitalized numbers above 1,000 - that's down from 13 states in mid-July.

Arizona, for example, had 3,517 #COVID current hospitalizations on July 14. Now under 600 💙 5/

cc: @SaskiaPopescu @Garrett_Archer Image
The drop in reported deaths is real and sustained. 6/ Image
Regionally, deaths have trended downwards as the hotspots cooled in August everywhere outside of the Midwest. Even there, however, deaths have stayed level rather than increasing. 7/ Image
And finally - tests needed to find 1 case, nationwide. This figure is back around 20 tests per case.

The fight with this virus is by no means over - but we aren't in the fire of mid-July any longer. Image

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More from @PeterJ_Walker

28 Jul
For those interested in how the HHS directive has changed our ability to get accurate figures for the currently hospitalized patients in the US:…

A short summary thread - please read the below for more detail! 1/
As you see in here, HHS is reporting a higher number of currently hospitalized patients than the states. So...why?

A few reasons:
- The switch to HHS was urgent and had to take place on legacy systems. Some hospitals may not be able to report to both state and HHS every day. 2/
- States may be required to report more robust information to HHS. Some states, like Florida, only report confirmed primary diagnosis of COVID, while HHS requires suspected cases.

- Some states may not be including patients in VA hospitals in their totals. 3/
Read 4 tweets

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