The big implication of new rules in #multicap fund category by SEBI. An impromptu attempt at rambling up some thoughts. Would love comments and feedback no how to benefit from this trend. Some points i cover in tweets below 1/5
1) 18-20% of the Total Equity AUM is in Multicap Funds - Suddenly the rules of the game have changed. Will lead to merger and other creative solutions but not mad buying of smallcaps.
#FunFact - There are 35 schemes of #MultiCap Fund and 29 of #LargeCap & 27 of #LargeandMidcap Fund. #Multicap AUM = 1.46 lakh cr. #Largecap = 1.48 lakh cr. The regulator has a problem in principle and true to label issues. Why did they not notice till now? Source -AMFI site
3) How does a Fund Manager make Alpha with a Large Book and No Flexibility.
Tough for Fund Manager to Outperform.
How to justify 0.5-2.5% fees with hardly any Alpha going forward.
4) The Big Shift towards ETFs, Direct Equity.
Sebi+ Technology
These are my personal views and can be wrong or over-thinking. Would love the feedback and comments on how to benefit from this trend.
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10 Most Interesting Videos on the CFA Society India Channel.
Take your time and go through them. Would recommend attending the physical events too.
@CFASocietyIndia
1) Brave New World | Ritesh Jain, Co-founder, Pinetree Macro.
He spoke about the liquidity way of investing, Tracking the global liquidity flow across past decades, how liquidity impacts economies, market returns based on liquidity.
2) Dimensions of Mistakes in Investing |
Utpal Sheth, CEO & Senior Partner, RARE Enterprises. He spoke about importance of overcoming natural instincts in investing, focusing on the long-term strategic picture, and sizing bets to match one's conviction.
In this series, we cover interesting stories and insights of legendary investors which will give invaluable lessons in the journey of investing
In this thread, Kenneth Andrade explained how using #TechnoFunda does not work on huge PF size !!
According to him both the studies contradicts each other, example, A technical chart will tell you to sell it 20% below your purchase price and as a Fundamental analyst you will double your position at 50% below your purchase price so those things are conflicting
In his career he held “MRF” from 2003 to 2015 it was 110 times up, held “Page industries” from 2007 to 2015 it gave an 80x or 90x, & Kaveri seeds which gave 70x
After this there’s just one question he asks is why would you want to sell a business where fundamentals are improving
1) Leadership Changing in Banks, 2) NBFCs breakout, 3) PSE FOMO to set in, 4) New Age Cos Bottomed, 5) Smallcap Oops Moment !!
BankNifty@44k
HDFCBank (28% Wt) - 1750 a major resistance.
KotakBank - (10% Wt) - 2000 resistance.
ICICI Bank strength continues.
SBI crossing 600 confirmation of strength.
AxisBank & Indusind Bank ( 1250 resistance ) can be new leaders.
Be selective.
NBFCs, SFBs
Old thumb rule - NBFCs, Banks can outperform when Rate Cycle has peaked or the rally starts with Big Banks to Small Banks and then Nbfcs
A lot of charts trying to make 2-3 yr highs- Ujjivan, LTFH, M&M Finance, IDFC twins, Equitas, Chola, Federal , Muthoot Cap, etc