Why is it taking so long for the German government to abandon its failed China policy of 'change through trade'? A thread 1/11
When it comes to the People's Republic of China (henceforth #China), the German government has largely engaged in foreign trade promotion (Außenwirtschaftsförderung) 2/11
In his PhD thesis Norbert Schultes has pointed out that in foreign trade promotion the German government has let the private sector take the lead, which explains the highly corporatist approach 3/11
This makes foreign policy change through legislative means much harder, as the German government has essentially outsourced its foreign policy to the private sector 4/11
Outsourcing foreign policy to the private sector has also meant that corporate propaganda has always loomed large in the German public discourse about China 5/11
To justify trade and investments with an authoritarian China corporate lobbyists have for decades hyped the significance of the Chinese market for Germany’s traditionally export-oriented economy 6/11
I recently discussed this problem with a German media professional. In this conversation it became clear to me that groupthink contributed to this rather unfortunate practice among journalists 8/11
Germany's outdated China policy will only change if politicians and parliamentarians reassert the central role of the state and strengthen both democratic security and industrial policy 9/11
Academics and journalists should play their part by deconstructing both government and corporate propaganda which hypes the significance of China's market for Germany's export-oriented economy 10/11
Last but not least German citizens should take note of the totalitarian turn in Xi's China and demand an end to Germany's failed China policy of 'change through trade' /End
"Dialog mit dem Drachen" 🐉 lautet der Titel des neuen Buchs der Sinologin @RudyakMarina. In der Einleitung steht, dies wäre "kein Marketing-Trick", vielmehr sei die "Metapher des Drachen vor allem eine Übersetzungsaufgabe". Ende 2022 klang das noch ganz anders. Ein 🧵/1
Im Austausch mit @thorstenbenner zitierte @RudyakMarina am 1.11.2022 ihre BA Chinese politics Studenten. Rudyak lobte in ihrem tweet eine aktuelle Publikation von Nadège Rolland zu China für ihre inhaltliche Tiefe und den Verzicht auf Klischees wie den Drachen /2
Daher bin ich verwundert. Wenn klar ist, dass wir als China-Experten nicht überkommene Klischees benutzen sollen, warum wird es hier dennoch bedient? Lin Hierse hat 2021 in @APuZ_bpb solche überkommenen China-Bilder bereits überzeugend kritisiert /3 bpb.de/shop/zeitschri…
Der jüngste Appell von @JohannesVarwick et al warnt vor "Panikstimmung" im Umgang mit Russland und spielt die Bedrohung durch ein radikal-revisionistisches Russland unter Putin herunter. Eine kurze Gegenrede /1 stern.de/politik/deutsc…
Es handelt sich dabei um eine Ansammlung altbekannter Denk- und Redefiguren, die in der Vision von Deutschland als "Zivilmacht" (Hanns W. Maull) verankert sind /2
Die Unterzeichner fordern "Kompromisse". Doch wie sollen Verhandlungen Putin von kinetischen und hybriden Angriffen auf Europa abhalten? /3
Russia’s illegal war of aggression against Ukraine has upended Europe's security architecture, yet Germany’s moralised, dysfunctional foreign policy discourse traps us in a Groundhog Day loop. Trump II’s alignment with Putin makes it even worse. A short🧵/1
It’s not just cognitive dissonance – it’s a case of what Karl Deutsch called 'pathological learning'. Germany is failing to adapt to new realities. Outdated behaviours or beliefs are being reinforced despite clear evidence of their inadequacy /2
For decades🇩🇪was a ‘civilian power’ (Hanns W. Maull): rejecting militarism, ‘Never again,’ Ostpolitik etc. In 2025, that is not enough to counter mounting threats to our sovereignty and national security /3
Im Herbst 2024 erschienen in der Zeitschrift SIRIUS Rezensionen zu China-Büchern, darunter Oertels neuestes Werk und mein Buch 'Germany and China'. Auffällig war ein Verriss von Susanne Weigelin-Schwiedrziks 'China und die Neuordnung der Welt' (Brandstätter Verlag, 2023) /1
Trotz detaillierter Kenntnisse zu Chinas Außen- und Innenpolitik gelänge es der Autorin nicht ein "differenziertes, kohärentes und realistisches Bild von der derzeitigen internationalen Krisensituation und der Rolle Chinas darin zu vermitteln" /2 degruyter.com/document/doi/1…
Konkret bemängelt der Rezensent Krause, dass Weigelin-Schwiedrzik Chinas Position im Ukraine-Krieg als neutral darstelle, obwohl Peking "ein möglichst schnelles Ende des Ukraine-Kriegs will – aber zugunsten Russlands und am besten mit der völligen Unterwerfung der Ukraine" /3
Tomorrow’s German election could be Europe’s most pivotal since Brexit 2016. Can a functioning coalition emerge? Or will Germany turn ungovernable? What’s at stake for Europe’s future? A short 🧵/1
Polls favour @_FriedrichMerz (CDU/CSU) to lead Germany’s next government. Yet preference falsification and @dieLinke's rise in the polls signal a wild card. Tomorrow evening we could be in for a surprising election result /2
@_FriedrichMerz @dieLinke And have a look at this electoral map. The far-right @AfD is set to surge in the East. The centre-right @CDUCSUbt is poised to win big in the West. What does that tell us about the state of German unification thirty-five years after the fall of the Berlin Wall? /3
Folks need to understand that elite capture / strategic corruption is real: in the 🇺🇸, in 🇪🇺 , wherever you look. For too long we assumed that our democratic institutions could withstand the onslaught of corporate and foreign government lobbying / influence / interference /1
What started with the Schroederisation of politics has now morphed into institutional corruption. This is the inconvenient truth, the 🐘 in the room. We now not only need strengthened 🇪🇺 military capabilities but also national and transnational movements against corruption /2
Self-serving European elites contributed to today’s mess just as much as the true believers of the MAGA movement. Both have major blind spots, just different ones. The resulting #hypernormalisation prevents necessary reforms aimed at enhancing transparency and accountability /3