Aaron Sojourner Profile picture
Sep 15, 2020 16 tweets 8 min read Read on X
🎉Updated paper w/Jason Sockin 🎉

Jobseekers struggle to understand attributes of potential employers.

Current & former employees have inside scoop but weak incentive to supply voluntarily, face retaliation risks.

Strong demand for neg info. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf… Image
Because a job is so central to one's well-being and various forces make jobs hard to replace, risks are higher when leaving a negative review of your employer than a restaurateur or hotelier. Image
Employers can and often do use discourage current & former employees from surfacing negative information.

For instance, over 1/3 US workers report being bound by nondisclosure clauses (per @evanpstarr), which bleed into nondisparagement & lawsuit risk (@OrlyLobel).
An employer has a strong interest in suppressing the info.

#MeToo
nytimes.com/2020/03/02/bus…

#OSHA
bloomberg.com/news/features/…

But those with interests in info coming out -- prospective employees, competing firms, & enforcement agencies -- don't coordinate to countervail these risks
A 1979 book @WKipViscusi offers a model of worker learning. His+O'Connor 1984 AER paper surveyed workers on their beliefs abt workplace hazards & did more.
jstor.org/stable/554

But flow of info to workers about job attributes has been hard to observe & research. More to do!
We look an institution designed to facilitate the flow of info: @Glassdoor.

Finding 1: volunteers are more likely to conceal aspects of their identity when reporting more negative info, esp where retaliation risk should be higher, smaller firms & for current employees. Image
But Catch-22!

Finding 2: Volunteers' identity concealment reduces value of info to jobseekers (last column), plausibly because not knowing volunteer's job title or location makes it harder for the jobseeker to judge the relevance of the info to their own situation. Image
This is consistent with prior evidence @mioana & coauthors that the marginal review is more negative than the average review, that unreported potential reviews skew negative.
journals.aom.org/doi/abs/10.546…
Finding 3: jobseekers are much more likely to vote negative info as helpful than positive info. Simple evidence:

Abt 40% of jobseekers' helpful votes are on 1-star reviews.

Abt 40% of unhelpful votes are on 5-star reviews.

This doesn't tend to be true w/consumer reviews Image
This finding is super-robust. It holds across firm age (graph), # of prior reviews, average overall rating, wage premium & controlling for lots of things.

It holds using other uni-dimensional measures of review positive/neg content, e.g. would you recommend employer to a friend. Image
Finding 4: demand for negative info holds across every job attribute.

We model latent attributes in review text. Difference in how much each review focuses on each attribute in the Pros field - in Cons field = positivity of info.

On every attribute: positive <=> unhelpful. Image
Finding 5: letting helpfulness depend on horizontally-differentiating info doesn't change helpfulness of vertically-differentiating info.

Some jobseekers review own employer. Correlation btwn attributes they discuss & what a review discusses ⬆️chance helpful & basic result stays Image
Finding 6: job attributes have similar relative magnitudes in explaining both:

a) jobseeker evaluation of reviews' helpfulness, &

b) volunteer evaluations of their own job satisfaction (in models like @NicoleMaestas2 @TillvonWachter @thedavidpowell or Mas & Pallais). Image
Finding 7: supply & demand for info aren't well aligned.

Relative importance of attributes to workers in terms info demand is only loosely (0.20) correlated with their relative supply.

Most-demanded 10 attributes account for 66% of demand weight but only half of supply weight. Image
In sum, jobs largely experience goods (Menzio & Shi). Supply & demand for job attribute info all long tails, no mass market.

Worry about retaliation risk may be to blame for under-supply of negative info.

Addressing workers' information problems may improve efficiency.
Excited to present this on Friday at the "Matching Workers & Jobs Online" conference at IDSC @iza_bonn @uni_lu.
conference.iza.org/conference_fil…

Feedback very welcome!

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More from @aaronsojourner

Jun 9, 2023
This paper is SOOOOO interesting. I love it.

They posit 3 types of Americans with different relations to the labor market. Folks in:

- primary enjoy steady work, any job search quick.

- 2ndary struggle to find jobs, move across U, E, N a lot.

- 3iary mostly out.
These bring the Dual Labor Market hypothesis home to the U.S.

Interprets short-panel linked CPS data combining:

- a hidden Markov model of observed transitions by latent type,

- a measurement model uses many rich CPS questions to assign each person type probabilities.
The primary market, estimated to represent 55% of American population, enjoys super-high LFPR/EPOP, super-low UR.

2ndary (14%): in LF 73% of time but unemployed a third of that time.

3riary (32%): out 91% of time. UR intermediate when in.

Heterogeneity that matters. Image
Read 11 tweets
May 21, 2023
Amazon warehouse mgmt uses intensive, opaque monitoring as input to discipline, pay, promotion, & firing decisions.

MN just passed a law requiring employers like them to make such standards, incentives, & data transparent to workers.

Fascinating on a few fronts... Image
No one likes working to unclear standards.

But mgmt often prefers it,⬇️some gaming &⬆️ managers' discretionary power.

Even if mgmt uses clear well-justified rules, if workers don't know them, feel arbitrary.

Mgmt says, trust us. Many workers do not.
thenation.com/article/politi…
In a workplace with new tech-enabled, intensive, high-stakes monitoring, it's interesting to see workers demand & win transparency of rules & of data.

Amazon warehouse workers in MN have actively pushed to improve working conditions for a decade @AwoodMpls. This is latest win.
Read 5 tweets
May 18, 2023
Lower-income Americans often need access to $ NOW!

Speedier payments benefit those most in need.

Instant payments, like @federalreserve’s FedNow coming July, would create billions in consumer value.

🧵my new paper w/the great @ryanmcdevitt
direct.mit.edu/rest/article-a… Image
We measure willingness-to-pay (WTP) for $ today versus $ soon.

Use transaction data from a bank that offers both bank accts (BA) & check-cashing (CC), unusual.

Usually, 2 services offered by different bizs = tough to leverage customer choices to credibly isolate WTP.
@springbankny was 1st new S. Bronx-based bank in 25 years when in 2007 when started as Check Spring Bank. Later I served on & chaired bank’s board.

Aimed to deliver financial services value to S. Bronx community, compete head-to-head with check cashiers.
spring.bank/about-us Image
Read 12 tweets
Mar 28, 2023
Wealthiest 0.1% of Americans saw 5.0% of their wealth disappear from the quarter before the Fed started hiking rates in 2022Q1 to 2022Q4

The next 0.9% saw 7% of their wealth disappear

In contrast, the least-wealthy half of Americans saw their (much smaller) wealth rise 17%
The price of Fed action to fight inflation has so far been paid mostly by wealthier Americans whose assets in stocks, crypto, & elsewhere deflated.

If Fed causes employers to start destroying jobs in the real economy, the price burden will shift dramatically.
This is how it started and the labor market has held up remarkably well. The Fed can break it though.

Hard-landing advocates claim doing so is the only way to bring down inflation.
Read 6 tweets
Jan 29, 2023
10% of America's abt 155 million employees belong to a union.

+1 percentage point a year requires +1.55 million net members if employment flat.

In 2022, union membership rose 273K, 6X smaller.
Estimated +273K from @BLS_gov worker survey. Reflects net hiring by union employers, priv (+193K) + public (+80K) sector, & new organizing inside & outside NLRB.

Abt 52K private sector workers voted to newly unionize in 2022, eyeballing @KevinReuning's NLRB data. 30X smaller.
@BLS_gov @KevinReuning The AFL-CIO's strategy aims to organize 1 million workers over 10 yrs, +100K/yr pace.

That's either 37% of the 2022 pace if it includes all change or less than 2X 2022's pace if newly unionized only.

Is this under-promising to over-deliver?
reuters.com/world/us/us-la…
Read 8 tweets

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