All this talk of "concessions" and a parliamentary "lock" on the parts of #UKInternalMarketBill overriding the #Brexit withdrawal agreement smack of the Tory Party negotiating with itself.

It's a safety catch for the revolver...handed to a PM with an 80 seat majority! /1
It reminds me of the Chequers deal days when the Tory party congratulated itself for triangulating a position of customs that had no bearing to what EU could accept....this plan as reported by @GeorgeWParker and others feels similar /2…
@GeorgeWParker From an EU perspective you have to realise that sections 42 to 45 of the UKIM wholly disapply obligations of the Northern Irish Protocol. It is nuclear. (We are promised same for 'at risk' goods question in autumn Finance Bill). /3
@GeorgeWParker Putting the trigger in the hands of a Parliament where a) @BorisJohnson has an 80 seat majority and b) it would be used in a 'get Brexit done' moment of a 'no deal' is no insurance policy at all, since in practice this is about UK unilaterally re-writing NIP in a 'no deal'/4
@GeorgeWParker @BorisJohnson This isn't to say all is lost.

The EU is clearly not going to walk away; it will keep talking, see if it can get an FTA deal that indirectly solves these issues, and until UKIM bill is actually law, still time for UK Gov to remove those clauses /5
@GeorgeWParker @BorisJohnson But this is above all a party management exercise to *get the UKIM bill onto the statute book* - which viewed from that lens is actually an act of aggression, not compromise with the EU. ENDS

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More from @pmdfoster

30 Sep
Today in a leaked letter Lord Frost concedes that EU will not give UK preferential trade terms to UK cars...but that is not what @BorisJohnson
promised on 2019 election trail. So does that matter? 1/thread…
@BorisJohnson First the letter (that was first reported by @faisalislam) which tl;dr says "we asked for preferential terms, the EU said no"....

This relates particularly to so-called 'rules of origin' - the need for a car to be 45% UK-made to get 0-tariff access to EU under an FTA/2 Image
@BorisJohnson @faisalislam The problem, as @Petercampbell1 points out is that companies like Nissan and Toyota use parts from Japan and the EU won't let those count or "cross-cumulate" as UK-inputs....not that that should come as any surprise. /3 Image
Read 13 tweets
30 Sep
Where ⁦@faisalislam⁩ reveals (no surprise) that EU won’t allow UK to count Japanese or Turkish parts as British when exporting to EU - per ⁦⁦@DavidGHFrost⁩ letter to industry - interesting optically because...1/…
On the substance this is no surprise - @MichelBarnier been clear all along that U.K. can’t be allowed to become a “manufacturing hub” off the coast of Europe - free of EU rules, but free to benefit. (#Brexit means Brexit, mon brave)/2
But the timing is interesting. It is one hand a confession of failure, but also an acceptance of it - “Brexit means Brexit, chaps, just like we always said”...

If you were pessimistic you’d see this as part of the ongoing “pivot to sovereignty” which underpins U.K. approach/3
Read 4 tweets
28 Sep
🚨🍞🧅🍖🧀🐏🐂🐓🚨Q: are there enough vets to deal with Brexit food exports red tape after Jan 1??? Govt says yes...industry and vets not so sure. My latest via @FT 1/thread
@FT Why do we need vets? Because deal or no deal all agrifood produce going to EU (or NI) will need an "export health certificate"...that requires a 'wet stamp' from an Official Veterinarian at a cost of £200-£900. /2
@FT The government estimates that the number of EHCs could increase from 60,000 now to anywhere from 100,000 to 300,000 - that's a huge spread, and it speak to uncertainty on this issue. /3
Read 13 tweets
25 Sep
So. Fascinating 'come on' to Brussels from @JGForsyth in his Times column today...saying a deal is within "touching distance".

That's optimistic (on substance) but interesting to see UK pushing for a 'tunnel' - and "pitch-rolling" to backbenches 1/…
@JGForsyth So first the 'come on' - Per UK side to JG "we really need to begin the intensive talks to resolve the final tricky issues."

There is talk of an October 'tunnel' before EUCO - but ONLY if UK a) UK restores trust after law-breaking threats & b) and landing zone is in sight /2
@JGForsyth So on the 'trust' front there are signs that UK realises that it totally overcooked it - but "the gun remains on the table". So before a tunnel something still needs to be done on that - like agree that the over-write "notwithstanding clauses" fall in ping-pong. /3
Read 18 tweets
24 Sep
Absolutely glowing @MakeUK_ statement from Manufacturers boss Stephen Phipson on @RishiSunak #COVID19 statement. Seems to have hit the spot.
@MakeUK_ @RishiSunak And more of the same from British Chambers of Commerce @BCCAdam here /2
@MakeUK_ @RishiSunak @BCCAdam And the aviation/aerospace groups @ADSgroupUK also welcoming, with caveats...echoed by MakeUK also. /3
Read 5 tweets
23 Sep
Fandango over need for “permit” to drive to Kent after brexit via @FT but as one insider tells me, it’s an empty vessel of a system.../1
The SmartFreight isn’t that “smart” - the only data you input, I’m told, is your vehicle reg number. Otherwise it’s yes/no answers. /2
So one Q is: Do you have an MRN [Movement reference number] from an import declaration or TAD? [Transit Accompanying Document]

Answer yes/no.

Then “continue”

Apparently it’s not actually linked to anything. Just a declaration. /3
Read 9 tweets

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