Jessica Scarane is at 32,536 votes, 3000 more than Kerri Harris won in 2018. Why'd she lose? Because the total primary vote grew at least 40% from 2018, a record-setting primary year.
For comparison: Just 49,615 Democrats voted, total, in the 2012 Senate primary.
The defining Democratic voting trend of the Trump era is a surge of suburban liberals and moderates, the people who turned out for presidential elections before but ignored primaries. More than any Senate primary, I think the MI presidential primary demonstrated what this means.
A few folks (like @ryangrim) wrote about this; in 2018, Kerri Harris beat her "win number." The problem was that the campaign under-rated the number of suburban moderates who'd been activated by Trump and would rush to save Carper. And Coons found 10s of thousands more.
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Heavy rhetorical focus on diversity at today’s DNC meetings — real record scratch as Trump admin unwinds DEI programs, w Rs confident that this stuff is an electoral loser.
“There has never been a Native American in leadership at the DNC. If not now. when?”
"Unlike the other party, that is demonizing diversity, we understand that diversity is our greatest strength," says outgoing DNC chair Jaime Harrison before bringing the candidates out.
Still seeing "Harris couldn't turn out millions of Biden voters," and the count in swing states says that's not true.
In Wisconsin, Harris got 37k more votes than Biden. The most votes of any Dem candidate since Obama in 2008.
She lost bc Trump added 77k more votes since 2020.
She is very close to Biden 2020 raw vote in MI and PA. Had Trump just recreated his 2020 vote, he would have lost MI and PA would be too close to call still. But he added 151k votes in MI, 108k in PA.
What about Georgia? Biden got 2.47m votes in 2020, Harris got 2.54m votes this week. Trump won because he added 200k votes.
NC? Harris outran Biden by 4k votes. Wouldn't even have been enough to win in 2020 ... but Trump added 120k votes.
Bannon: "Jamie Raskin is going to try to steal the election on Jan. 6. They're going to say that President Trump is an insurrectionist, and we will never certify the election of an insurrectionist."
"We're coming after Lisa Monaco, Merrick Garland, the senior members of the DOJ that prosecuted President Trump, Jack Smith. This isn't about revenge, this isn't about retribution; this is about saving this republic."
Hello from the Libertarian National Convention. Downstairs, the LP's delegates keep booing Donald Trump; upstairs, the room for the 8 pm speech has been sweetened with dozens of suburban Republicans who drove in for it.
The Hilton also did Trump a solid by making Libertarian presidential candidate Lars Mapstead remove projections of his "STOP 270" slogan - pictures of Trump/Biden, a plan to deny either an Electoral College win - from the lobby. (This acc'ing to Mapstead.)
The Trump campaign's take, via advisor Jason Miller: “Every single person in that room is going to vote against Joe Biden. If you want to compete for untraditional votes, you have to take risks."
“Someone asked if they should introduce me as the former next president of the United States.”
Biden is “failing the George Washington statesmanship test,” says Yang, by not recognizing that it’s time to go. “Given that Joe Biden is such a depleted, vulnerable candidate, why is he not getting more competition?”
Very funny moment just now. Yang says he’s endorsing Phillips. Music blasts and Phillips walks out. Yang says he’s still got more time and the Phillips campaign played him on too quickly: “They have the text of my speech!” So Phillips walks back to holding room.