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Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
@TimInHonolulu
Sep 17, 2020 • 3 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
1. @WhiteHouse press (@whca) should keep an eye out Thursday. It's day five from #Henderson #SuperSpreaderEvent. Nobody asked @PressSec if the staffer was on the trip but I would expect Thursday will be when symptoms start to appear. Of course they could be infectious earlier per
2. the WHO that reported people with #COVID19 “generally develop signs and symptoms, including mild respiratory symptoms and fever, on an average of 5-6 days after infection (mean incubation period 5-6 days, range 1-14 days).
3. However, one study that investigated patients in Wuhan, China, found that “the median incubation period was 4 days."

So that one staffer if on the trip and in the hot zone, is likely tracking Wuhan. #HerdMentality. @MSNBC @maddow @Lawrence

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More from @TimInHonolulu

Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Apr 30
1. I think it's unlikely there has been no Kremlin role in stoking the antisemitism on US campuses. Possible impairment of 702 during period pro-Kremlin members of Congress blocked its reauthorization, the Ukraine war based on disinformation of a Nazi-Jewish president,
2. Donald Trump's constant stoking of Nazi hate nationwide as an extension of the 2016 Russian influence campaign all strongly suggest a Kremlin role. The Senate Intelligence Committee needs to gather IC and make pointed inquiry whether this insurgent antisemitism has a Kremlin
3. related element and, if so, the IC needs to develop a counter-intelligence strategy to interdict the foreign influence including possibly using FISA Title I orders directed at persons who have been coopted by the Kremlin.
Read 5 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Apr 28
1. I remain a student of #Mideast affairs but the one thing I have known for certain for many years is that #Hamas does not seek to fix the Palestinians' plight. Hamas, like all antidemocratic forces in the region, seeks to exploit Palestinian injustice & misery to destroy the
2. #Jewish state. It is the thing that binds #Shia and #Sunni on a single mission, the same mission that #Hitler adopted: #Genocide. Sadly, #Netanyahu and his racist #warcabinet decided to use #agressivewar in response to the #Oct7Massacre to immediately flip
3. the script from #Israel as a victim to Israel as an aggressor engaged in the same form of prohibited warfare that formed one of the two principal charges at #Nuremberg. I remain suspicious of Netanyahu's unexplained absence on Oct 7 and note the silence of his associate
Read 10 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Apr 27
1. I see reports of a diplomatic snub inferred from no Chinese high official being at the airport as @SecBlinken left after his three -day visit to Beijing. What I found astounding is that Xi gave Blinken 3 days of his time. I can’t recall ever witnessing that in my life.
2. Then Blinken reportedly gives Xi an ultimatum to cut Moscow off on assistance to conduct its Ukraine invasion. To me a big send off would have seemed odd. There has to be a sense of outrage & panic in Chinese official circles trying to grasp what is coming if they fail to cut
3. China’s assistance in destroying a democratic nation at a time the Chinese economy is struggling with no prospects of turnaround. To now face what could arguably be crushing sanctions perhaps banning China from much of U.S. technology that goes into the material
Read 6 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Apr 27
1. My opinion on the situation in Gaza.

First, Hamas' brutal invasion of Israel was an act of war and authorized the Israeli invasion. Second, the Israeli battle plan engaged in the prohibited crime against humanity of agressive war and there is evidence that could support the
2. element of specific intent required for conviction of crime against humanity of genocide. Third, my initial analysis concludes that Netanyahu and members of the war cabinet and top military commanders could be targets of a charges in the Hague.
3. Fourth, Hamas remains a major terrorist force and all members including leaders of Hamas may remain targets that can be eliminated if done without unreasonable risk to civilians. Fifth, the states that support Hamas could be listed as state sponsors of terrorism including
Read 6 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Apr 26
1. Oral argument today made me recall how curious the question presented was and how even the Court seemed to acknowledge that they were not addressing it. I missed bits and one bit I missed I just heard on MSNBC was Alito saying he didn't want to discuss the facts of the case.
2. That was astounding thing to hear an appellate judge say: facts of the case don't matter. My impression when it was over was that the liberals were not speaking as they might if the six conservatives were all onboard with the Trump dictatorship. Alito and Thomas sounded angry.
3. Coney Barrett was hard to read but I didn't sense that she bought the absolute immunity idiocy. I agree with @JoyceWhiteVance Gorsuch sounded like sour grapes from corrupt element of 1512(c). I missed parts but Roberts seemed more like moderator. Like he knew
Read 6 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Apr 22
1. Trying to imagine what would be so urgent as to cause Putin to rush to the Kremlin on Sunday night. A quick survey of Russian press and I found one report that confirmed something that I had thought might happen now that the aid money and weapons are certain to come in days.
2. Ukraine had to be holding a cache of weapons for a massive Russian offensive. Things like ATACMS, HIMARS, 155 mm smart munitions, Javelins & Stingers. They would be limiting offensive operations and focused waiting to hold the line from and offensive. I think they went all in.
2. I found this report buried in Tass. that sounds like a report of an army that's facing a sudden broad-front offensive. "Units of Russia’s Battlegroup West moved to more advantageous positions in the past day, tass.com/defense/1778291
Image
Read 7 tweets

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