Aaron Derfel Profile picture
Sep 19, 2020 10 tweets 5 min read Read on X
1) Major #COVID19 outbreaks are erupting again in seniors’ residences — mostly in two regions of Quebec — as the province posted on Saturday its highest daily total of new cases since the end of May. In this thread, I'll try to explain the worrisome situation in eldercare homes. Image
2) Within the last 24 hours, five outbreaks have been declared in seniors’ residences (RPAs) in the Quebec City area and Chaudière-Appalaches. The worst cluster of #COVID19 infections is occurring in the Résidence La Belle Époque, with two dozen new cases in the past day. Image
3) Please let me make an observation that I’ve noted for a while but will only now make: the #pandemic is now hitting RPA eldercare homes harder than long-term care centres (CHSLDs), where the government has just assigned a massive number of newly-trained orderlies.
4) Given the undeniable resurgence in RPAs, perhaps the government should reassign some of those recently-hired préposés aux bénéficiaires to work in seniors’ residences. In seeking to fix a flagrant problem in the network of CHSLDs, has Quebec ignored a simmering one in RPAs?
5) The outbreaks in seniors’ residences in the Capitale Nationale is taking place as Quebec City’s seven-day average rose to 7.9 #COVID19 cases per 100,000 residents. A region with six cases per 100,000 could be considered an orange zone, according to one government criterion. Image
6) Chaudière-Appalaches is now witnessing triple the number of daily #COVID19 cases as it did during the first wave of the #pandemic. On Saturday, its rolling seven-day average rose to 5.37 cases per 100,000 residents, and is edging toward the orange zone from yellow.
7) The situation in the RPAs underscores the highly opportunistic nature of the #coronavirus, as it exploits the most vulnerable segments of society: the elderly, the disabled and the poor. The #pandemic highlights how Quebec must stay vigilant in the regions as well as Montreal.
8) Meanwhile in the metropolis, Montreal observed 128 new #COVID19 cases Saturday, more than double from the day before, as the orange line in the chart below shows. The city’s seven-day incidence climbed 50.8 cases per million population. Image
9) At the neighborhood level, the health district of Côte-des-Neiges, downtown Métro and Parc-Extension reported a dramatic daily increase: 36 cases. But Montreal North and the east-end are also posting big numbers, as the chart below indicates. Image
10) Justifiably, much attention has focused on school outbreaks this past week, especially in Montreal where one institution had to close for two weeks. But the resurgence in the RPAs shows Quebec may be on the verge of fighting a broadening war in the #pandemic. End of thread.

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More from @Aaron_Derfel

Mar 13
1) On Tuesday, the Quebec government unveiled its 2024-2025 budget, with the biggest expenditure to be made on health and social services. In this Twitter thread, I assess whether this "Health/Education Priorities" budget lives up to its hype, especially when it comes to seniors.
2) As you can see from the chart below, the lion's share of spending in the budget is for health and social services, pegged at $61.9 billion — up by 4.17% from the year before. In contrast, spending on education — so vital to Quebec's future — will rise 9.35% to $22.3 billion. Image
3) But as far as health and social services is concerned, Tuesday's budget may be indulging in a bit of spin. The chart below states that Quebec will spend an extra $3.7 billion over the next five years to "support a humane and effective organization of health care." Image
Read 9 tweets
Jan 5
1) "The pandemic is far from over," one of the preeminent experts on #COVID19, Dr. Eric Topol, declared today, Jan. 4, 2024 — three years after the world first learned of a novel virus that was killing people in China. In this thread, I take stock of what's going on in Quebec.
2) "The pandemic is far from over, as evidenced by the rapid rise to global dominance of the JN.1 variant of SARS-CoV-2," Topol noted in a Los Angeles Times op-ed. In Quebec, nearly one in two genetic samples collected was from JN.1 as of two weeks ago. It's likely higher now. Image
3) "Clearly this virus variant, with its plethora of new mutations, has continued its evolution ... for infecting or reinfecting us," Topol added. Although the updated booster is considered 60% protective against hospitalization, only 17% of the Quebec population has taken it.
Read 10 tweets
Dec 17, 2023
1) BREAKING: By every major indicator, Quebec's health-care system is now arguably the worst it's ever been. Please click on my story below on Quebec wait lists for cancer and other surgery setting record highs — again. via @mtlgazettemontrealgazette.com/news/local-new…
2) Although Quebec has made it a priority to tackle wait lists for cancer surgery, more than 4,400 oncology patients are still waiting for their operations. More than 600 are waiting longer than the medically acceptable delay of 57 days, potentially putting their health at risk. Image
3) Even the wait list for so-called non-urgent surgery has now swelled to nearly 164,000 people. Almost 14,000 Quebecers today have been waiting more than a year for their surgery. At a year's wait, a non-urgent surgery starts to become urgent. Image
Read 14 tweets
Dec 6, 2023
1) BREAKING: Quebec, like other jurisdictions across North America, is now in the midst of a new #COVID19 resurgence — nearly 4 years into the #pandemic. In this thread, I will assess the implications of this latest wave of infections, likely driven by a new SARS-CoV-2 variant. Image
2) On Dec. 5, Quebec declared a total of 2,214 hospitalizations with and for #COVID. Please note this increase also reflects a change in the way Quebec's public health institute has been compiling such hospitalizations. But make no mistake: Quebec is still facing a resurgence. Image
3) The United States is also facing a #COVID hospitalizations resurgence, with 20,000 new admissions per week, according to preeminent expert @EricTopol. In the U.S., the JN.1 variant is becoming dominant, with wastewater levels surging with SARS-CoV-2. See Topol's tweet below. Image
Read 10 tweets
Nov 13, 2023
1) BREAKING: Jewish-owned businesses in Montreal are being targeted and vandalized with antisemitic profanity. Please click below to read my report.
via @mtlgazettemontrealgazette.com/news/local-new…
2) "Last weekend, they put swastikas on the … menus downtown and they wrote FUCK THE JEWS," a Jewish business owner told me. I have also seen a list of Jewish businesses that is circulating, provoking not only boycotts but vandalism.
3) The Gazette has decided not to publish these disturbing images, as the Jewish business owners are fearful of reprisals.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 16, 2023
1) BREAKING: A month after Japan downgraded #COVID19 to the seasonal flu, the country is now beset with a 9th wave of infections. In this thread, I will explore the persistence of the #pandemic that everyone — especially politicians — wants to forget. Image
2) First, it's worth noting that the number of #COVID hospitalizations in the nation of 125 million rose to 4,330 from 4,122 a week before. The seven-day average for the number of patients in intensive care units was 79, according to the Japan Times.
3) It appears that XBB subtypes of the SARS-CoV-2 virus are driving the latest wave of infections in Japan. Meanwhile, China has recorded a more than five-fold surge in the number of people diagnosed with COVID in hospitals since April. China is also bracing for another wave. Image
Read 7 tweets

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