#Prediction In 3-4 years time, many young/ middle aged professionals would have turned farmers after quitting their high paying jobs.
Practical approach. They would have earned decently to ensure their future. Going away from high stress jobs. Plus now the #FarmBills are approved
So they dont have to engage with the slimy political/ trader types one can expect to encounter in the APMCs. These people working in the corporate world would be more comfortable doing contract farming or creating their own linkages to sell their produce
In MH, this phenomenon would be mainly seen in Western MH where professionals working in Mumbai or Pune would love to return to their roots and lead a less hectic life (Not to say farming is an easy profession). The rest of the regions of MH could also see this trend
Imagine a 35 year old in Nashik belt growing grapes using drip irrigation and latest innovations and confident enough to deal with vineyards, with knowledge of prices
Basically Raj Thackeray had said in 2007 that he wants to see a farmer wearing jeans on a tractor in his farm. This may happen but courtesy Modi and co. Raj wont have anything to do with it
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Based on simple vote data from ECI site, seems BJP has damaged BRS on about 12 assembly segments. Also BRS has just got saved despite BJP votes in many other seats.
If BJP was not in the picture & these 12 seats were with BRS, the revised tally will be :
Cong 52
BRS 51
BJP 8
Seats won by Cong in Telangana where BJP got more votes than victory margin,
Khanapur : Cong won by 4702 (BJP got 52,398)
Bodhan : Cong won by 3062 votes (BJP got 33,555)
Nizamabad Rural : Cong won by 21,963 votes (BJP got 49,723)
Jukkal : Cong won by 1152 votes (BJP got 28,437)
Narayankhed : Cong won by 6547 votes (BJP got 7823)
Yellareddy : Cong won by 24,001 votes (BJP got 27,000)
Medak : Cong won by 10,157 votes (BJP got 13,657 votes)
Vemulawada : Cong won by 14,581 votes (BJP got 29,710)
Devarkadra : Cong won by 1392 votes (BJP got 13,164)
Interesting analysis by Bhau Torsekar. Pawar was alarmed at Uddhav stealing the limelight within MVA. The vajramuth sabhas had Uddhav as the main face.
Uddhav is the main beneficiary of the MVA as he get Maratha brigade ideology votes from NCP & muslim & neo Buddhist from Cong
His voters in rural are unlikely to be fully transferred to Cong n NCP. As his voters are OBC and marginalized Marathas. NCP n Cong base is privileged Marathas big land owning farmers.
Nor are UBTs Hindu Maratha voters likely to vote for Cong's muslim or Hindi speaking candidates
On seats where UBT wont fight their votes may go to MNS or Shinde
BJP saw it happen continuously over last 30 years. BJP vote transfer to Sena was huge but the reverse was quite weak
Only one mistake by Shri @PawarSpeaks during the formation of the MVA alliance & govt in 2019.
And that was to insist that Uddhav Thackeray should be the CM (Uddhav has claimed this was NCP & Congress demand)
My guess is this was natural thought given that NCP is a dynastic party
If the MVA had gone ahead with @mieknathshinde as CM of the MVA govt & Uddhav playing politics the way of Balasaheb, this govt would still have been ruling.
There are few reasons why I think so, 1. Uddhav has been a good backroom strategist, but lacks admin skills & charisma
2. Uddhav's health was always going to be a problem in being an active, as Sharad Pawar had hoped Uddhav to be 3. Eknath Shinde was only strong influential leader who could influence MLAs. Making him CM would have made him invested in keeping the MVA coalition together
The official NCP if it does not split can never go with the BJP in an alliance, even if Ajit Pawar becomes the NCP chief. This is because the NCP is now the second biggest party in MH & leagues ahead of Congress and Sena UBT.
Why go as number 2 in an alliance with the BJP?
No party would relinquish the number 1 position in an alliance. Look at how the Sena fumed after 2014 after BJP overtook it as the biggest NDA partner.
That anger culminated in Usdhav jumping ship and forming the MVA.
Why would the NCP want to revive Congress now by jumping ship
NCP can play match fixing with the BJP as both stay on top on opposite sides.
Only case in which NCP can gk with BJP is if a NCP faction under Ajit splits and then it will be forced to join hands with BJP.
Great presentation of upcoming mega projects in Mumbai by @sanjeevsanyal
Main points - 1. Mumbai coastal road will add 7.5 to 10 km of promenade to the west coast of Mumbai 2. Allow quick transit between island city and the suburbs
3. Once the coastal road is fully constructed till Virar, it will decongest the Western Express Highway (WEH) which carries 60% of road traffic of Mumbai 4. Mumbai Metro 3 is arterial line of the Mumbai metro network, which will create passenger carrying capacity of 8 million/day
4. Just to compare, WR and CR passenger capacity is 9 million per day. In short Fadnavis has envisioned creating the same passenger capacity in 10 years, which the suburban railway n/w created in more than a century. 5. Metro network will help a Mumbaikar travel anywhere in 1 hr
Precursor to BMC election will be fought on 3 Nov.
The Andheri East bypoll held coz Sena MLA Ramesh Latke passed away due to Covid.
It is a fight between his widow Rutuja Latke from Sena Uddhav camp vs Murji Patel from BJP.
In 2019 assembly election, Murji had rebelled n contested against Latke who was the NDA candidate.
Murji Patel got nearly 46000 votes n lost by about 17000 to Latke. Congress candidate got approx 28000 votes.
Murji Patel mostly got votes due to his own popularity, as lot of BJP voters voted for Latke as yuti candidate.
It's a close contest with BJP nose in front slightly.
Assuming Congress supports Sena as part of MVA,how will the 28000 votes obtained by Amin split between BJP n Sena?