It is undeniable, IMHO, that there has been an increase in spread in the upper Midwest. This is specifically in WI, the Dakotas, MT, WY, etc. This is not just on account of detection of college cases, but PCR/CLI have risen too. This does not mean a ton of deaths will follow.
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Remember those of us following both seasonality & infection thresholds have been calling this for months. Places that have not been hit hard are still susceptible to further spread. It's not an accident this is hitting a specific geography (seasonality) & places not reaching HIT
Here is a visual of CLI in HHS region 8 (CO, UT, WY, MT, ND, SD)
You can see a definite tick up the past 7-10 days in symptomatic ER visits and confirmed diagnoses.
Here is Wisconsin specifically.
You may have noticed a pattern here. It was in the south... then a month ago we started seeing people freak out because it was creeping into Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, etc., now it's back in Montana, Dakotas, Wisconsin, Minnesota.
Again, why are there any seasonality skeptics?
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Does the NCAA permit Michigan to use a "scouting service" to scout future opponents? Yes...but also no.
Michigan fans are clinging to a 2013 bylaw change as hope they will be spared the wrath of the NCAA. Michigan's own actions suggest they don't believe this.
A thread.
The rule banning in-person scouting of future in-season opponents came in 1994. In the wake of rising athletics revenues from media rights, the difference in budgets was stark. NCAA wanted to keep schools with smaller revenue from being at a disadvantage...
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To help accomplish this, the NCAA banned in-person scouting outright except for postseason tournaments of a few sports. This kept bigger schools from paying large expenses to send multiple scouts to various contests.
"Moody’s credit analysis seeks to incorporate all issues that can materially impact credit quality, including ESG and climate risk; and aims to take the most forward-looking perspective that visibility into these risks and mitigants permits."
Since 2019, Moody's has been incorporating ESG/DEI into its credit ratings of businesses.
"The methodology was updated to explain further our integration of ESG in credit analysis, in particular through our ESG scores."
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"The credit impact of ESG considerations is highly negative or very highly negative for about 20% of the more than 5,700 debt issuers that we have scored for exposure to ESG risks."
That's 1-in-every-5 Moody's dings for not abiding by ESG, rather than fiscal responsibility.
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CDC is out here throwing data from several "multijurisdictional reports" of case rates together, despite a mountain of limitations, and presenting it as science.
These people are just doubling down on junk data. This is not at all intuitive.
These jurisdictional reports do not account for previous infection, length of time between shots or other confounding variables. Worse yet, some vaccination data has proven to be incomplete and literally includes unknown status as unvaccinated. These need to be controlled for.
Folks this is INFURIATING.
When you look at their actual data, late Omicron has 12-17 unvaccinated as three total deaths. This is the date range for the approved bivalent booster. Three.
I don't have to tell you that is not a statistically valid sample for a million reasons.
Three important pieces posted this past week detailing the incentives to overcount deaths associated with COVID-19. The first published in @Newsweek by @DrJBhattacharya and I. Nearly 450,000 Americans have received funeral expense reimbursement.
A COVID diagnosis makes hospitals eligible for 20% addon payments by CMS for Medicare patients (simply testing + when admitted for any reason). Further, when having COVID on the death certificate, families are eligible for funeral expense reimbursement by FEMA.
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Befuddling NFL officiating in last few minutes of this game:
* Int. grounding called on JB, but not on PM on 2nd & 4 throw that didn't get back to LOS
* Late hit called on PM, but not on JB throw
* Missed hold & block in back on punt
* Two missed holds on PM scramble
To me, I credit Mahomes for making plays, but this game was won by the KC d-line taking advantage of the Cincinnati injuries up front. But the one-sided officiating was shocking.
They sure had a selective memory of the rules regarding late hits:
As some still try to fearmonger on new variants, rise in cases, etc., we are reminded it's baseless.
Here is ave. inpatient census (with) COVID-19 by week (1st axis), w/ave ICU, multiple cause of death & underlying cause (2nd axis). Notice the separation since spring of 2022.
Blue = inpatient beds used for suspected/confirmed COVID
Orange = ICU census w/confirmed COVID
Gray = all deaths with COVID on death certificate
Yellow = all deaths where COVID was listed as primary (underlying) cause.
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Data sources: HHS Reported Inpatient Impact and Hospital Capacity timeseries used for hospital and ICU census where the daily average was used for corresponding weeks.
CDC Wonder MMWR weeks used for weeks ending for multiple and underlying cause of death
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