Ketan ACMA🇮🇳 Profile picture
Sep 26, 2020 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Valiant Organics CMP 2795
✍️A Specialty Chemical Manufacturing Company.
✍️The products of the company find several applications mainly in the agro-chemical, pharmaceuticals, rubber, dyes, pigment & in the making of veterinary drugs
✍️Fully integrated manufacturing facilities
✍️Revenue: Domestic 85% & Export 15%
(Agro 40%,Specialty 30%,Dyes+Pigments 20%,API 10%)
✍️Rev. share from API is likely to increase in coming yrs
✍️One of the most competitive producers of Chlorination, Ammonolysis,Acylation,Hydrogenation & Methoxylation based specialty products
✍️Inorganic growth & organic capital expansion without much increase in Debt Equity
✍️Leveraging a de-risked biz model
✍️The synergistic acquisition of Amarjyot chemical ltd last year
✍️Ability to forward integrate by adding high-margin & high value products to maximise growth
Capacity Expansion
✍️Increased Chlorophenol capacity to 18000 MT p.a. by completing the expansion at the Sarigam plant. (From 4800 MTPA in 2017-18 to 18000 MTPA in 2019-20)
✍️Increased the capacities of hydrogenation products from the 18k MT to 26k MT per annum (Jhagadia plant)
✍️Added Ortho Nitro Anisole & Para Nitro Anisole to portfolio
✍️Increased the Ammonolysis capacity at Tarapur & Vapi plants from ~13k MT to 16k MT p.a.(The cost benefit of this will be evident from the H2 FY2021)
✍️3 new projects at Jhagadia with an estimated capEx of INR 100 Crs
✍️Backward integration will enable mfging key RM in-house & in providing significant cost savings & better profit margins
✍️Likely to commence operations of Para Amino Phenol (PAP) & Ortho Amino Phenol (OAP) which are import substitutes in the H2 FY2021

#Specialtychemicals
✍️PAP - Identified as key intermediates of pharma by the govt which is to be incentivised under recently announced PLI scheme
✍️The MGT is considering to set up a plant for Paracetamol with other drug intermediates & APIs in future
✍️Land Bank of 68000 Sq. mtrs at Sayakha & Dahej
✍️Fully integrated & multi-purpose mfging processes (No reliance on Job-work)
✍️Diff. product mix within the same facility allows an optimum capacity utilization
✍️OP & NP margins improved by 8.5% & 16% respectively in FY2020(Good product mix+better margin +reduction in tax rate)
✍️Recently Nippon India, Sundaram MF & Goldman Sachs bought Valiant organic shares
✍️Many institutions have started looking at Valiant since it has moved to the main board
✍️Outlook remains good for long-term

Source: AR 2019-20
Disc: Not a buy/sell Reco. Just for study purpose

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More from @ketanmba03

Nov 29, 2020
The Journey of Vini Costmetics
✍️1985: Darshan Patel joins his father's co Paras Pharmaceuticals
✍️1994: Launched Krack which was an overnight success
✍️1996-2000: Launched a range of products(D-Cold, Borosoft,Ring Guard,Itch Guard)
✍️2002: Launched Livon-IND's 1st hair detangler
✍️2005: Set Wet hairstyling gel is launched and later a deodrant under the same brand name
✍️2006: Patel exits Paras. He sold his 24% stake to Actis Capital for $43 Mn
✍️2007: Registered Vini Costmetics and spend the next couple of years doing consumer research
✍️2010: Vini Costmetics was launched; started selling pharma products; WhiteTone was launched; Paras Pharmaceuticasl was acquired by Reckitt Benckiser Group for INR 3260 Crs
✍️2011: Launched Fogg deodorants; Bay Capital came on board, investing 30 Crs
Read 5 tweets
Nov 28, 2020
Aurobindo CMP 868
The company is developing:
✍️14 Biosimilars (5 of these expected to launch by FY25 with a US$20 market size)
✍️8 inhalers (US market size is >$10 Bn)
✍️Pneumcoccal Conjugate Vaccine (US$6.2 bn global market size)
✍️3 depot injectables (US$3.3 bn market size)
Co also developing 50 Other Complex generics
✍️Peptides (US$14.5 Bn Mkt size-Global $2.5 bn size for 5 filed ANDAs and Global $12bn for 10 under development)
✍️Topicals (US$4 Bn Mkt size-26 products under development currently out of total 37 products identified for development)
✍️Transdermal patches (US$3 Bn Global Mkt size) : 8 products under development (Clinical trials to begin for the 1st product in FY21)
✍️Nasals (US$1.3 Bn Mkt size) : 1 approved + 4 under development (Filing will be done over the course of next 3 yrs)
#Aurobindopharma
#Growth
Read 14 tweets
Nov 23, 2020
✍️IND's Renewable Energy sector is world's 4th most attractive RE Mkt
✍️Globally, Cost to generate Solar & Wind Energy dropped by 90% & 70% in past 10 yrs
✍️Costs almost at par with NG
✍️RE is estimated to comprise ~60% of IND’s installed power capacity by 2030 (~24% at present)
✍️Global Investments in RE: $282 Bn in 2019
✍️45% cming frm China, who aims to get 62% energy via RE in nxt 3 yrs
✍️By 2040, IND aims to generate ~49% of total Electricity frm RE
✍️FDI inflow in the Indian non-conventional “energy sector” stood at $9.22B in last 10 years
✍️More than $42B has been invested in IND’s “RE” sector since 2014
✍️Estimated to attract investment ~$80B in nxt 4 yrs
✍️The past 9 months have slowed the Solar Energy installations by 80% v/s 2019 due to Covid
✍️2020-Cumulative solar capacity is ~37 GW
✍️2022-Tgt is 100 GW
Read 7 tweets
Apr 26, 2020
IndusInd Bank CMP 380
✍ Stock fell frm 2038 high to 235
✍ Decreasing deposits
✍ Rising bad loans
✍ High exposure to telecom companies & NBFCs
✍ Exit of a long-time CEO
✍ Crisis at #yesbank has put question mark on rest of the private lenders
✍ Stock corrected 68% in March
Journey from 2035 to 235
✍ Dec 2017 - RBI imposes INR 3 Crs penalty for under-reporting of FY16 NPAs

✍ Apr 2018 - Reports divergence in FY17 NPAs of INR 1350 Crs frm RBI's estimates

✍ Sep 2018 - Discloses exposure of INR 3000 Crs to IL&FS, a crisis-ridden NBFC
#IndusindBank
✍ July 2019 - Completes merger with Bharat Financial Inclusion

✍ Jan 2020 - Posts disappointing Q3, provisions up by 72%, gross NPAs more than double YoY, asset quality worsens, Mr Sobti set to retire in Mar'20

✍ Feb 2020 - Moody's downgrades Outlook to Negative from Stable
Read 5 tweets
Apr 25, 2020
The API Industry
✍️ The backbone of India pharma industry is the bulk drug industry
✍️ India has highest no. of US FDA approved plants (665) outside of the US
✍️ India has 44% of global abbreviated new drug applications (ANDA)
✍️ India needs to proactively boost the API Industry
✍️ The Indian pharma industry is the world's 3rd largest in terms of vol
✍️ India's API industry is ranked the 3rd largest in the world
✍️ India fulfils 20% of global demand for generic medicines in terms of Vol & supplies over 60% of global demand of various vaccines & ARV drugs
✍️ Indian bulk drug industry has grown at CAGR of 8.6% over 2016-2020. It is further expeacted to grow at similar CAGR during 2020-2024
✍️ The import of APIs has risen at a CAGR of 8.3% from 2012-2019
✍️ Bulk drug import reached a value of INR ~249 billion in 2019

@Harrshit1
Read 15 tweets
Mar 22, 2020
Thank you, #Coronavirus

Thank you for shaking us & showing us we're dependent on something much bigger than we think..!!

Thank you for making us appreciate the luxury we lived in..abundance of products...freedom...health...and realizing we were taking it for granted...!!
Thank you, #Coronavirus for stopping us...to make us see how lost we were in the "busy-ness"

Not having time for the most basic things..

Thank you for allowing us to put aside all our problems we thought were so important and showing us what is actually important..
Thank you, #Coronavirus for stopping the transport..

The Earth was begging us to look at the pollution for a very long time.. we didn't listen...

Thank you for all the FEAR
It has been a global disease for years but not many of us wanted to face it and now we have to face it...
Read 4 tweets

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