redphone ☎️ Profile picture
Sep 28, 2020 15 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Why does my brain do this to me? Supposed to be working... instead fixated on the implications of the migration from to

1) In case ye didn't know: migration ratio = 100:1. Every 100 LEND will get you 1 AAVE.
2) Current supply of = 1.3 billion, so we should see a cap of 13 million .

But no...

Instead, we'll see an extra 3 million enter the world via the pliable birth canal that is the blockchain for a total of 16 million Image
3) The whole thing feels like a little wand-waving to conjure 30% more supply out of thin air...

4) Oh yeah, with the added "bonus" of turning the token into the "insurance" fund in the event of a catastrophic failure. Thanks for the additional risk lol
5) Sounds lame so far, but it ain't. There's good news. The new supply won't flood the market

Governance will say how to use it... some will be held to secure the system. The rest will be for enticements to help grow
6) My takeaways: I like the optics/ease of a smaller circulating supply

16 million is just easier to grok than a random-ass 1.3 billion .
7) My brutally-honest takeaway (like I've been drinking too much):

Print that fucking money !

Oh yeah. Make the system grow! We all know you came along too early to benefit from yield farming

(instead other yield farming platforms benefitted from you!)
7.5) Now, though, with those extra tokies, should be able to create some right proper incentives to pour fuel on its already 🔥 growth trajectory.
8) More: Everyone feels like #defi is growing insanely and they seem to think $10 billion locked is a huge deal

Me thinks that's the smallest little mound of 🥜 imaginable relative to where this is all going
9) Even within #DeFi itself, $10 billion locked isn't much. It's less than 3% of the total market cap of ALL cryptos.

We could be at 10% of the total market (about $35 billion) by the end of the year...
10) Say we hit $35 billion total locked in DeFi. If keeps the 3rd place slot and the ratios don't change, it will have $5 billion+ locked

Current MC = 43% of total locked
10.5) If that stays the same when they have $5 billion locked, will be worth $2.15 billion or $134 per token (that's about $1.65 per token or a gain of about 200%)
11) Of course, I think things like are going to be what brings the COMMON MAN into our nerdy little club. So $5 billion locked seems like a sandbagger's goal. Even the 100th largest bank in the U.S. has 3x that amount!
11.5) Seriously. No. 100 = City National Bank of Florida in Miami with $16 billion in assets. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_l…

12) Aave is a protocol. It's not a company, so it's not fair to compare it to a bank.

It will hold so much more than a fucking bank.
13) Closing words (I promise):

is still in its pre-pubescent days. It has pimples. It gets a woody even thinking about holding a girl's hand. One night, we will go to bed and will be a cute little boy. We will wake up in the morning and it will be a man.
14) will have $50 billion locked. It will literally shut down some of the banks on that Top 100 list. It will integrate with the rest

15) I need to get back to work

16) Keep your head down, @StaniKulechov You're an inspiration

17) Peace, love and alpha, my frens

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More from @redphonecrypto

Jul 11
1/ Our brains are hardwired for a world that no longer exists.

Technology accelerates exponentially while our intuitions are built for a linear world.

This mismatch is a big part of why we feel overwhelmed. Here’s an unlock I’ve been using: 🧵 Image
2/ For 99% of human history, effort was linear.

🥾 Walk twice as far → Takes twice as long.
🍓 Gather twice the food → Takes twice the work.

Our minds were built to understand this. We expect straight lines.
3/ But the world now runs on curves.

This is the exponential pace of change in AI, biotech, and computing. It’s why our linear intuition breaks, and trying to predict the future suddenly feels like a hallucination. Image
Read 7 tweets
May 28
1. The Turing Test is dead.

The Turing Flip (when we start viewing human input as flawed and AI as the source of truth) is next. In fact, it’s already begun 🧵👇 Image
2. The Turing Flip = that moment when humankind starts putting more trust in AI than they do other humans.
3. Up to now, trust was built through relationships, shared experiences, and reputation. We turned to parents for guidance, doctors for health, friends for emotional advice, teachers for knowledge, leaders for vision, etc.
Read 14 tweets
Mar 19
1. The best prompt engineers are the people already good at hacking their own brains

2. They’re masters of “cognitive reframing”

3. Every high achiever in the world is a master at reframing… it’s why you can... 🧵👇
3... it's why you can always learn something from a world class tennis player even if you don't play tennis. They know how to reframe the things most mortals avoid (practice, eating right, exercise) into very positive and desirable tasks
4. If you’re a master reframer, you’re prob going to be a world class prompt engineer… and if you’re a world class prompt engineer, you’re going to be a coveted employee (for a few years anyway)
Read 10 tweets
Nov 5, 2024
1/ Crypto has consumed my life for more than a decade. I thought it had made me a single-issue voter.

So I got my early voting ballot… filled it out for Trump and stuck it in the mailbox just after sunset. The next morning, I went to the mailbox, removed it...
2/ ...and threw it in the trash 🗑️. As much as I want crypto adoption to go parabolic, I honestly can’t believe our choices are down to:

👉 A man who attempted to end two centuries of peaceful power transitions by demanding his VP subvert democracy
3/ 👉 A woman whose platform is essentially "no" to crypto, "no" to tech, "no" to innovation—while saying "yes" to censorship and ideological control (aka wokism)

Neither is “American” in spirit.
Read 15 tweets
Oct 25, 2024
LLMs & @truth_terminal are actively altering my worldview & how insane I think the crypto/AI bubble will become. Thoughts:

1. One could argue crypto users are the tip of humanity’s spear. We explore the digital frontiers and often see economic/tech truths before the public. Image
2. If a crypto trader stays in the game long enough, he learns all about "approximate truths"… i.e. he buys his first coin and thinks it will rule them all. That maxi-ism often forces him to ignore the notion that any other coin will be successful.
3. Then, life (i.e. losing money) hits him like a pipe wrench. And the longer he's in the shitcoin trenches, the more apparent it becomes that we are all Jon Snow (we “know nothing”). Truth is not truth after all.
Read 25 tweets
Sep 6, 2024
Our professions are our moorings. They're the pillars that help us build identity. From them, we get a sense of accomplishment and purpose.

But what happens when that purpose disappears?

🧵 1/13
2/ As AI + robotics accelerate, the moorings grow unstable. Our jobs are at risk. And that in turn, puts our houses, food and healthcare at risk, too.

It's both exhilarating and scary AF.
3/ AI is exhilarating because we approach an era of abundance.

Imagine food planted, grown, harvested, packaged + delivered by humanoid robots. Zero human involvement until the moment of consumption.
Read 13 tweets

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