1/4: Let's continue w/ our discourse on OMG / cognitive bias. Objectivity is critical to useful intel assessments. By end of Aug, however, Allied intel officers were heavily influenced by their optimism, their desired outcome, & Ike's post-Normandy narrative of impending victory. 
2 / 4:
Don't believe us? Check out this intel assessment from Aug 26, 1944:
“The August battles have done it and the enemy in the West has had it. Two and a half months of bitter fighting have brought the end of the war in Europe within sight, almost within reach.”
Don't believe us? Check out this intel assessment from Aug 26, 1944:
“The August battles have done it and the enemy in the West has had it. Two and a half months of bitter fighting have brought the end of the war in Europe within sight, almost within reach.”
3/4:
Seven days later, Sep 2nd, SHAEF intel assessment: “Organized resistance under control of the German High command is unlikely to continue beyond 1 December 1944.”
Intelligence leading into Op Market Garden amplified the notion of Allied triumph. The war was basically over
Seven days later, Sep 2nd, SHAEF intel assessment: “Organized resistance under control of the German High command is unlikely to continue beyond 1 December 1944.”
Intelligence leading into Op Market Garden amplified the notion of Allied triumph. The war was basically over
FINAL:
Is it any wonder Monty & Browning barely considered the Germans at all in the development of Market Garden?
Is it any wonder Monty & Browning barely considered the Germans at all in the development of Market Garden?
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