KDB is slightly more likely to get a single return according to bookies but goals are worth materially more than assists for mids which gives Salah an edge overall. Mo is more likely than KDB to score from open play and both are on pens.
The following stats are based on results vs bottom 8 opponents in 19/20. Salah had more blanks but also more hauls than KDB.
This trend was most noticeable for Mo in the away games vs ’bottom 8’, where he had only blanks and hauls, no single returns. This is relevant because he’s playing a probable bottom 8 team GW4.
Mo pts away vs bottom 8 in 19/20:
AVL - 2
NOR - 3
WAT - 2
BOU - 13
WHU - 14
BHA - 18
The 4 points prediction models I’ve seen also all have Mo for highest expected points this GW. And Pool are in better form than City. KDB also didn’t take a lot of set pieces last PL game for whatever reason.
My initial thought of captaining KDB over Mo were based on the following factors:
- KDB an arguably better away player than Mo.
- Leeds game is going to be more open than AVL who might go for a more ’park the bus’ approach.
KDB still the safer pick for me for these reasons...
But Salah more explosive in my opinion. Thanks for reading and GL with your decision. Who are you going for?
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DF: Digne (£6.1m) - Not much needs to be said of the flying Frenchman's ability to provide points, having laid on 4 goals and 13 assists in his two seasons so far at the club.
Everton have a relatively comfortable run in their next 5, with 4 fixtures against teams they would be hoping to replicate their opening day clean sheet against.
MF: Havertz (£8.4m) - After a tough start, Havertz has been dumped by a lot of frustrated managers, but Lampard opted to give him a start in the Carabao cup in midweek, which may prove a master stroke as the German went on to...
DEF: Lamptey (£4.5m) - As a team, Brighton passed the eye test against Chelsea, who were hugely flattered by a 3-1 score line, and few stood out like the young right back. Playing as a RWB in front of a back 3, Lamptey had plenty of room to roam and looked lively all evening,...
...eventually nabbing an assist by providing the final pass behind Trossard’s long range equaliser.
As the new season begins I wanted to start a new series where I use my tactical knowledge as a football coach and apply it to FPL. We will take a look at the skills and roles of players and how it affects the FPL output of themselves and their teammates.
Part 1: Fulham
The majority of this thread will focus on Arsenal’s players since they are the most interesting FPL assets. But I wanted to share my view on how Fulham looked in this game to give you an idea of how they might perform this season. To summarize their attack:
It's fair to say that FPL 2020/21 may be the most difficult yet, with two of the country's biggest teams missing out the first GW altogether. With this in mind, GW1 may not be the time for taking risks, so we've considered some reliable assets...
... who should provide solid value on their starting prices. However, don't despair - there will be a more daring list of differentials coming later in the week!
Let's dive in 👇🧐
DF: Alexander-Arnold: Not much needs saying about Liverpool's marauding right back - he was the highest scoring defender in the league last season with an incredible 210 points and yet his £7.5m starting price is actually lower than in July's GW38.