1. Lower est. based on Maximum value of weekly deaths for the years 2015-2019, adjusted up by 0.6% for three years (1.01810822 X).
2. 50-50 est. based on Average value of weekly deaths for the years 2015-2019, adjusted up by 0.6% for three years.
(4) Basis Discussion, Part 2
3. Excess Deaths up to 2/15 assumed to not be due to COVID-19.
4. No completeness adjustment was made to raw CDC Weekly Death counts, which were taken from the 9/30 updates to the CDC Datasets, which contained values thru MMWR Week 38, ending 9/19.
(5) Deaths for the 25-44 year old age group are vastly underreported (Actual ~4X):
Recorded Deaths Involving COVID-19 (see below):
1,513 + 3,956 = 5,469
CDC Excess Deaths: 21,644
Undercount: 16,175 (296% of Recorded Value)
(1) Charlie Kirk Shooting: Video of Rooftop Escape does seem to show a rifle barrel in a couple of frames:
(2) The long thin line that could be a shadow appears to be a rifle barrel on close examination.
This suggests that the person fleeing did shoot the supersonic shot from the Losee Center roof.
(3) I cannot ID this person from the footage, and the person is wearing a dark Hoodie, which is not what Tyler Robinson was seen in, in the Losee Center stairwell.
(1) Video from behind Charlie Kirk shows that crowd near Charlie new displayed an "Acoustic Startle Response" during the high powered rifle shot, suggesting it was not shot at Charlie, but over the top of them.
(2) Background:
When a supersonic projectile passes nearby, it produces a shock wave that propagates a loud crack perpendicular to its conic front.
(3) That shock wave arrives at the target with the bullet. For people nearby the shockwave will be delayed, roughly by their distance from the shockwave divided by the speed of sound.
Sniper Hide in FG 201A (Jamb Bore Vector)
Link:
Why top: Warfighter tags (@ZebBoykin, @ValhallaVFT) sparked replies; the repurposed diagram and wound correction got Zeb's like on a related reply.
@ZebBoykin @ValhallaVFT (3) Top Threads by @39Magilla
Directional Analysis Overlay (Losee Center Supersonic Origin)
Link:
Why top: @MichaKobs collab on the plot/map tie-in pulled in mapping nerds; solid follow to the hide thread.
(1) Does the Disabled Veterans National Foundation (DVNF) T-Shirt Scream "Blind Meet"?
(2) When people meet on the Internet and then decide to rendezvous, they often use their clothing to identify themselves - a "Blind Meet".
Tyler Robinson's T-shirt was not inconspicuous, but it may have been the signal to the person that lured him to the Losee Center roof.
(3) But get this: Yesterday's X buzz exploded when Ryder Corral (that 19-y.o. TPUSA memorial trasher) got pinched in the exact same eagle-flag black long-sleeve—down to the gold accents—while chucking Kirk tributes in Phoenix.
(1) Deep Dive: AI Enhanced Photo of the potential shooter in Room 201A of the Brandon D. Fugal Gateway (FG) Building
(2) Viral @RangeDayBro video tried to locate the Sniper who shot Charlie Kirk in the right side.
That video, shared with others, had a frame that showed a suspicious person in Room 201A of the Fugal Gateway (FG) Building.
@RangeDayBro (3) This is an AI Enhanced view of the suspicious figure alone in Room 201A of the Brandon D. Fugal Gateway (FG) Building during the Charlie Kirk Event: