Trump has one great superpower: utter shamelessness. With it, he has won some battles others would have lost, notably Kavanaugh. And it enables him to be the world's greatest slogan A/B tester, because if something he said yesterday bombs, he drops it and tries something else.
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1313240398647746566
But this superpower is extremely limited, and a boundless willingness to say literally anything, combined with no attachment to principles of any kind, is a bad political strategy for the long run.
People without principles aren't trusted, which means they can't build coalitions, which is why the big "wins" his supporters like to cite are a handful of modest executive orders, and a tax bill and supreme court nomination that were exactly what the GOP establishment wanted.
If he leaves office in disgrace, having lost badly, his supporters will lose interest, the party will repudiate him by never mentioning his name, and his legacy will be that a decade hence, even Republicans will grudgingly admit he was a screw up, a la Democrats with Carter.
Against a different candidate, he would have lost; any other plausible GOP nominee would have done better; and his supporters will have gotten none of the things they told us they needed him for, while handing the Senate, the presidency, and maybe the Court to dems 4 years early.
That's my take, and I'm sticking to it. Maybe he'll surprise me by winning again, and I'll need to rethink. But I can't see how at this point. He's an embarrassment who couldn't even see his own base self-interest clearly enough to protect himself from covid, much less America
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