Jeet Heer Profile picture
6 Oct, 13 tweets, 2 min read
1. So. Richard Hofstadter. Where to start?
2. People have asked me why I'm obsessed with the late historian Richard Hofstadter (1916-1970). The short answer is that he's emblematic of the two paths American liberalism can pick: towards social democracy or towards an alliance with moderate Republicans.
3. During his short life, Hofstadter had two distinct phases: a radical period in 1930s & 1940s followed by a centrist (verging on conservative) period in 1950s & 1960s (with the beginnings of a third, more radical phase cut short by his death)
4. The young Hofstadter used the idea of consensus as a way to criticize the narrowness of American politics, the constraints of property holding individualism that was increasingly unable to deal with the collective problems of industrial society.
5. But by 1950s, fearful of McCarthyism, Hofstadter recast the American consensus as a shield rather than a straight-jacket: a way for wise bipartisan to fend off the unruliness (and potential violence) of unchecked democracy.
6. The anti-populist politics that Hofstadter & a few of his peers (notably Daniel Bell) hammered out in 1950s remains widely influential in elite circles: it's the consensus understanding of what is happening in west: "liberal order under siege from extremists" (Trump, Sanders)
7. Powering this anti-populism is the belief that mass movements that threaten the bipartisan consensus are irrational (motivated by anti-intellectualism, prone to paranoid style). Again, this is not an antiquarian matter: it's how many opinion makers continue to see the world.
8. So: what's wrong with the idea of having a smart bipartisan elite that marginalizes extreme voices of the right and left? Isn't that an attractive approach to politics? Don't we want stability and continuity?
9. One way to see the limits of Hofstadter's vision of consensus is to say that he saw the dangers of the extreme left and extreme right but not the dangers of the extreme center: the way in which a bipartisan elite, unchecked, can carry out mad policies: Viet Nam war.
10. Hofstader's brother-in-law, the socialist novelist Harvey Swados, read his essay on "the Paranoid style" and said: yes, you got Goldwater and the Birch Society down, but isn't what LBJ is doing in Vietnam also an example of the paranoid style.
11. Hofstadter responded to Swados saying, LBJ's policies are wrong, but not irrational. But Swados was right: LBJ thought North Vietnam was puppet of Red China & anti-war movement simply created by communists. That was pure paranoia, as unhinged as any Birch fantasy.
12. In our own day, the biggest disasters have been centrist policies: the Iraq War, the 2008 meltdown followed by quick turn to austerity. Iraq was creation of neo-cons, the most "centrist" part of GOP coalition (many are now Never Trumpers) & supported by Clinton/Biden etc.
13. Hofstadter's widely influential anti-populism encourages an elite complacency that has repeatedly led to disaster. More thoughts here: thenation.com/article/cultur…

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More from @HeerJeet

2 Oct
1. The decent & proper response to the news is that one should hope for a speedy recovery for Trump, wife, his close personal aide & anyone else who tests positive, followed by Trump being trounced in the election, facing, and face legal punishment for his many crimes.
2. There's a human story, which ideally should call forth empathy, but also, of necessity, a political story. Trump has spent almost the entirety of this year downplaying the pandemic, continued to hold rallies, mocked those who wore masks. That can't be forgotten.
3. Trump's bungling of the pandemic has led to tens of thousands Americans dying who would have survived in the USA had a competent president. His positive test is also an occasion to reflect on that bungling and vast human toll he bears responsibility for.
Read 4 tweets
29 Sep
1. I think this is astute. There's definitely subset of the population that can't "see" Trump's charisma. It's like color blindness or tone-deafness: they can be told about it but they can't experience it (true to some degree of all charismatic figures but Trump more than most)
2. In terms of not understanding Trump's charisma, I think the missing ingredient is nihilism (as I said back in early 2016). If you don't have a little bit of nihilism in your soul, it's hard to understand Trump's appeal.
3. A lot of people who support Trump don't have the nihilism either, but they don't really love him. They support him for courts or taxes or some other policy reason. The people who really, really love Trump -- let's call them the Q people -- have nihilism.
Read 4 tweets
28 Sep
1. The "nothing matters" response to scandals is particularly shortsighted because politics is a war of attrition carried on multiple fronts. The tax thing alone is not enough to sink Trump but -- if used used right -- is part of a larger effort to defeat him & his politics.
2. The striking thing about the polls is how consistent they've been, impervious to almost all outside events (the one recent exception is BLM protests, which nudged Biden up 2 points). But does that mean nothing matters or that all scandals have created low ceiling for Trump?
3. So: scandals create a ceiling for Trump. He's lagged Biden all through election & needs to narrow difference in order to win (has a decent shot if he's 3-4% less than Biden). Scandals help keep that ceiling hard. Image
Read 4 tweets
25 Sep
1. Remember the Mueller cult? That seems kind of funny now.
2. Saturday Night Live did a regular series of skits featuring Trump (Alec Baldwin) cowering in fear under the stern glaze of Mueller (Robert Di Niro in his gruff tough guy mode). As we now know, it was the opposite: Mueller cowered before Trump.
3. Writing in @newrepublic in 2017, I noted that both liberals & conservatives are addicted to the myth of the heroic prosecutor: the selfless federal lawman who can save us from the messiness of politics & political corruption.
Read 6 tweets
24 Sep
1. Having watched this a few times, I have to say it doesn't get any less alarming. It's worth stepping back and think about where this is heading.
2. The pro-Trump -- or at least anti-anti-Trump -- position on this is Trump isn't serious. It's bluster. He doesn't have the brains, will-power, or support needed to pull off a coup.
3. Trump's intent seems uninteresting and irrelevant. As per other authoritarian regimes, the method is "working towards the Donald." He issues broad goals and people try to please him by carrying them out. Doesn't matter what he intends as long as followers are there.
Read 7 tweets
23 Sep
1. It's important to understand that Trump's own words support the Atlantic story. The plan is to use engineered election uncertainty to bring in the courts & do Bush v. Gore Redux.
2. Again, Pence is being admirably upfront about the fact that they want a court heavily stacked with GOP nominees not just for the long run future but also for the November election:
3. Of course, if there is a clearcut electoral college victory in 270+ states, the real nightmare scenario can be avoided. And that's quite possible. But if not this year then in the future there will be close national elections. In that eventuality, the nightmare would happen.
Read 4 tweets

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