A friend just messaged me and says he has $100,000 to invest but is afraid to start buying stocks because he thinks we might get a 10-20% drop.
This is what I told him to doππ½ππ½
Plenty of investors have been predicting a big drop since April and look how much upside theyβve missed.
Bottom line, Iβm not smart enough to predict a bottom and neither are you.
Even if you are bearish in the short term you should still be 50% invested because there are still dozens of reasons why these markets could go higher.
In terms of portfolio construction and averaging into positions this is what I suggested to him... ππ½ππ½
Letβs assume you have $100,000 and want to own 10 stocks at 10% each.
Now letβs assume is one of those stocks so a 10% position would be 100 shares of at $100
If you are concerned about a pullback and want to average into positions this is one way to handle it.
Buy 50 shares of at $100 then setup the following limit orders:
10 shares at $96
10 shares at $92
10 shares at $88
10 shares at $84
10 shares at $80
Thereβs nothing wrong with taking the stress and guessing out of building your positions.
Of course thereβs no guarantee pulls back to $96 which means none of your limit orders get filled but at least you have a 1/2 position which is better than nothing in this scenario.
β’ β’ β’
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10 years ago @EricSYuan was just an employee at Cisco Systems.
Today heβs worth $25 billion making him one of the 25 wealthiest people in America.
Hereβs how he did it ππ½ππ½
Born in China, Eric had his visa application denied 8 times before finally moving to California in 1997.
At the time he barely spoke English but was a superior engineer and began working for WebEx, one of the early pioneers in video conferencing.
Eric worked his way up the ranks at WebEx until the company was acquired by Cisco in 2007.
Eric became VP of Engineering at Cisco however he was unable to generate any support for his new video conferencing concept that would be more user friendly and better on mobile devices.
10 reasons why the stock markets will go up another 10% this year π
As someone that spends a lot of time studying markets and investing in stocks Iβll always be more optimistic than the average person because I know over the long term stocks always go up.
Hope you enjoyππ½
1) Right now the S&P 500 is trading at 21x 2021 earnings assuming $165 of earnings. 21x is higher than the historical average of 14-16x earnings but weβre also dealing with some incredible tailwinds including historically low interest rates.
The S&P 2021 earnings yield (FCF) is above 4.6% which compared to the 10-year treasury at .72% makes the S&P look attractive. Why would anyone want to put their money into treasuries or fixed income right now if they have a long term investment time horizon.
Something very interesting happened today that confirmed one of my new emerging hot takes which Iβll try to explain in this thread.
As always I welcome your feedback and opinions β just be respectful.
Please keep reading ππ½ππ½
Yesterday afternoon $CRM reported excellent quarterly numbers with $5.15B of revenues, a 29% YoY increase from last year. This sent the stock up 26% today after being up 6% the day before. This means $CRM added $50B of market cap over the last two days.
So what did they do today... well they announced theyβll be laying off 1,000 employees π’
I donβt want to overreact because this only represents 2% of their global workforce but this confirms something Iβve been thinking about since April π€
50% of my portfolio is now in international stocks and hereβs why...
With the US elections just 10 weeks away Iβve already started repositioning my portfolio for different outcomes.
The four outcomes I have to consider: 1) Trump wins, Republicans keep Senate 2) Biden wins, Republicans keep Senate 3) Trump wins, Democrats take Senate 4) Biden wins, Democrats take Senate
With no clear front runner in the Presidential election it will remain an unknown risk. Trump or Biden in the White House along with what happens in the Senate will determine many factors that impact our economy and stock markets including taxes, cap gains, fiscal spending, etc.
Going forward I'll be posting a weekly list of 10-20 stocks with explosive growth potential and market caps between $500 million and $5 billion. Occasionally I might mention a stock that falls outside of this range.
Please do your own research and due diligence before buying.
β8 reasons why every investor needs to own $FSLY for the next 12+ monthsβ
Keep reading ππ½ππ½
Before we go through my reasons to own $FSLY, if you want to understand this company on a more technical level please read the following write-ups from @StackInvesting