A friend just messaged me and says he has $100,000 to invest but is afraid to start buying stocks because he thinks we might get a 10-20% drop.

This is what I told him to doπŸ‘‡πŸ½πŸ‘‡πŸ½
Plenty of investors have been predicting a big drop since April and look how much upside they’ve missed.

Bottom line, I’m not smart enough to predict a bottom and neither are you.
Even if you are bearish in the short term you should still be 50% invested because there are still dozens of reasons why these markets could go higher.

In terms of portfolio construction and averaging into positions this is what I suggested to him... πŸ‘‡πŸ½πŸ‘‡πŸ½
Let’s assume you have $100,000 and want to own 10 stocks at 10% each.

Now let’s assume is one of those stocks so a 10% position would be 100 shares of at $100
If you are concerned about a pullback and want to average into positions this is one way to handle it.

Buy 50 shares of at $100 then setup the following limit orders:

10 shares at $96
10 shares at $92
10 shares at $88
10 shares at $84
10 shares at $80
There’s nothing wrong with taking the stress and guessing out of building your positions.

Of course there’s no guarantee pulls back to $96 which means none of your limit orders get filled but at least you have a 1/2 position which is better than nothing in this scenario.

β€’ β€’ β€’

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More from @JonahLupton

1 Sep
10 years ago @EricSYuan was just an employee at Cisco Systems.

Today he’s worth $25 billion making him one of the 25 wealthiest people in America.

Here’s how he did it πŸ‘‡πŸ½πŸ‘‡πŸ½
Born in China, Eric had his visa application denied 8 times before finally moving to California in 1997.

At the time he barely spoke English but was a superior engineer and began working for WebEx, one of the early pioneers in video conferencing.
Eric worked his way up the ranks at WebEx until the company was acquired by Cisco in 2007.

Eric became VP of Engineering at Cisco however he was unable to generate any support for his new video conferencing concept that would be more user friendly and better on mobile devices.
Read 14 tweets
28 Aug
10 reasons why the stock markets will go up another 10% this year πŸš€

As someone that spends a lot of time studying markets and investing in stocks I’ll always be more optimistic than the average person because I know over the long term stocks always go up.

Hope you enjoyπŸ‘‡πŸ½
1) Right now the S&P 500 is trading at 21x 2021 earnings assuming $165 of earnings. 21x is higher than the historical average of 14-16x earnings but we’re also dealing with some incredible tailwinds including historically low interest rates.
The S&P 2021 earnings yield (FCF) is above 4.6% which compared to the 10-year treasury at .72% makes the S&P look attractive. Why would anyone want to put their money into treasuries or fixed income right now if they have a long term investment time horizon.
Read 25 tweets
27 Aug
Something very interesting happened today that confirmed one of my new emerging hot takes which I’ll try to explain in this thread.

As always I welcome your feedback and opinions β€” just be respectful.

Please keep reading πŸ‘‡πŸ½πŸ‘‡πŸ½
Yesterday afternoon $CRM reported excellent quarterly numbers with $5.15B of revenues, a 29% YoY increase from last year. This sent the stock up 26% today after being up 6% the day before. This means $CRM added $50B of market cap over the last two days.
So what did they do today... well they announced they’ll be laying off 1,000 employees 😒

I don’t want to overreact because this only represents 2% of their global workforce but this confirms something I’ve been thinking about since April πŸ€”
Read 18 tweets
26 Aug
50% of my portfolio is now in international stocks and here’s why...

With the US elections just 10 weeks away I’ve already started repositioning my portfolio for different outcomes.
The four outcomes I have to consider:
1) Trump wins, Republicans keep Senate
2) Biden wins, Republicans keep Senate
3) Trump wins, Democrats take Senate
4) Biden wins, Democrats take Senate
With no clear front runner in the Presidential election it will remain an unknown risk. Trump or Biden in the White House along with what happens in the Senate will determine many factors that impact our economy and stock markets including taxes, cap gains, fiscal spending, etc.
Read 13 tweets
24 Aug
Last week I posted my first list of "20 stocks to watch with market caps under $5 billion and explosive growth potential”

Considering that tweet got 220,000+ views it appears that others are also interested in finding these hidden gems.

Keep reading πŸ‘‡πŸ½πŸ‘‡πŸ½
This is my list from last week if you want to review the stocks I highlighted
Going forward I'll be posting a weekly list of 10-20 stocks with explosive growth potential and market caps between $500 million and $5 billion. Occasionally I might mention a stock that falls outside of this range.

Please do your own research and due diligence before buying.
Read 18 tweets
20 Aug
β€œ8 reasons why every investor needs to own $FSLY for the next 12+ months”

Keep reading πŸ‘‡πŸ½πŸ‘‡πŸ½
Before we go through my reasons to own $FSLY, if you want to understand this company on a more technical level please read the following write-ups from @StackInvesting

2020 Q2 breakdown: softwarestackinvesting.com/fastly-fsly-q2…

What is edge computing: softwarestackinvesting.com/fastly-edge-co…
1) GROWTH = $FSLY reported 2020 Q2 revenues of $74.6M which was 62% YoY growth compared to $46.2M in 2019 Q2.

This was also a nice increase over 2020 Q1 revenues of $63M which was a 38% increase compare to 2019 Q1.
Read 25 tweets

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