Sweden's response described in Science magazine

1/

sciencemag.org/news/2020/10/i…
"The country’s cumulative death rate since the beginning of the pandemic rivals that of the US, with its shambolic response. And the virus took a shocking toll on the most vulnerable. It had free rein in nursing homes, where nearly 1000 people died in a matter of weeks."

2/
"Although stores and restaurants remained open, many Swedes stayed home, at rates similar to their European neighbors, surveys and mobile phone data suggest. And the government did .. [ban] gatherings of more than 50 people and on nursing home visits."

3/
"A group of scientists..published a blistering critique of the country’s public health authority." The group, now including 50 scientists and 150 supporting members, calls itself Vetenskapsforum COVID-19 (Science Forum COVID-19)

vetcov19.se

4/
"..14 Swedish kids were admitted to intensive care with COVID-19, versus one in Finland, with roughly half as many schoolchildren..at least 70 children have been diagnosed with multisystem inflammatory syndrome, a rare complication of COVID-19, versus fewer than five in Finland."
"More than 94,000 people have so far been diagnosed with COVID-19, and at least 5895 have died. The country has seen roughly 590 deaths per million—on par with 591 in the US and 600 in Italy, but many times the 50 per million in Norway, 108 in Denmark, and 113 in Germany."

6/
"If herd immunity is beginning to kick in, it should become visible in Sweden’s case numbers. Cases fell from a record 1698 on 24 June to about 200 per day in early September.."

7/
"But over the past few weeks, infections in Sweden have started to rise as well. On 25 September, FoHM reported 633 new cases nationwide in 1 day. Stockholm’s rates have nearly tripled in 2 weeks, from 334 in the second week of September to 967 last week."

8/
"THE SWEDISH EXPERIMENT is coming to an end, as its policies fall in line with those of its neighbors. FoHM officials are “quietly changing their approach,” Einhorn says."

without IRB

9/
"Some speculate that Sweden’s summer traditions may have helped: Hundreds of thousands leave cities and towns for remote cabins in what amounts to 3 months of national social distancing."

8/
"But over the past few weeks, infections in Sweden have started to rise as well. On 25 September, FoHM reported 633 new cases nationwide in 1 day. Stockholm’s rates have nearly tripled in 2 weeks, from 334 in the second week of September to 967 last week."

9/
"THE SWEDISH EXPERIMENT is coming to an end, as its policies fall in line with those of its neighbors. FoHM officials are “quietly changing their approach,” Einhorn says."

without IRB

10/

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More from @yaneerbaryam

2 Oct
Breaking: Coronavirus Update

US yesterday 44,717. WI, SD, and MT new highs. Canada daily average rose to 1,875, approaching that of the first peak back in April.
Europe saw surges in many countries. New cases are bending upward starting from beginning of July and accelerated in September, now averages 63k daily, overshadowing the 35k average during its first peak.
Increases are mainly seen in France, Spain, UK, Russia, but many countries that's relatively low during first peak are experiencing their all-time high in daily infections. Comparing to August, in September the vast majority of European countries are increasing.
Read 5 tweets
2 Oct
Breaking: Coronavirus Update
US yesterday 41,405. For American countries compared to one month ago, more than half are decreasing; especially hard-hit countries. US saw an 18% reduction but also scattered upticks recently. Brazil decreased by a quarter, Colombia almost 1/3 lower
Argentina has yet to see the turning point. Yesterday they reported a new high of 14,392. In Sept. there was a 50% increase in daily cases comparing to Aug. Jamaica and Canada both experience recent surges from a relatively low baseline, hence the high growth percentage.
Italy today reports 2,548, highest since end of April. Cases in Campania surge; the current epicenter in Italy. Russia 8,945, continuing rapid increase. Germany 2,619, highest in almost half a year.

See Italy below:
Read 4 tweets
1 Oct
Excellent article on COVID superspreaders

Stop outbreaks by limiting superspreader events and testing, once we get case numbers low:

“..to really understand the mysteries of the pandemic, we need to think about a different variable: k" by @zeynep

theatlantic.com/health/archive…
"averages aren’t always useful for understanding the distribution of a phenomenon, especially if it has widely varying behavior. If Amazon’s CEO, Jeff Bezos, walks into a bar with 100 regular people in it, the average wealth in that bar suddenly exceeds $1 billion."
"if the bar has a person infected with COVID-19, and if it is also poorly ventilated and loud, causing people to speak loudly at close range, almost everyone in the room could potentially be infected...and that is similarly not captured by R."
Read 6 tweets
1 Oct
Breaking: Coronavirus Update

US yesterday 42,185. The positive testing rate in some NY and NJ counties saw notable increases recently. Argentina yesterday reported new high of 13,477. Mexico yesterday 4,446, average slowly trending down.

See Argentina below:
UK yesterday reported a new high of 7,156, along with 71 deaths - the highest since July. Russia today reported 177 deaths, the highest since mid-July. France 11k+ cases again after two days of low increases.
Several African countries yesterday reported their lowest increase in weeks, including Rwanda, Eswatini, and Namibia. In September, more than half of the African countries are decreasing in daily cases, with Ghana, Gambia, Kenya, South Africa leading the improvement.
Read 4 tweets
30 Sep
The Overwhelming Racism Of COVID Coverage

Thailand worked hard and fought back COVID-19 with public health. Instead of seeing that the NYTimes asked if it was something in their blood: "Is there a genetic component in which the immune systems of Thais..

medium.com/indica/the-ove…
..that has insulated this country of 70 million people?”

This is literal racism.

medium.com/indica/the-ove…
Instead of looking what Thai people did, they’re asking if it’s something in their veins. Because Thai people couldn’t possibly just be competent, it must be alchemy. This sort of coverage is awful, and it’s endemic.

yahoo.com/news/strong-bu…
Read 10 tweets
30 Sep
Breaking: Coronavirus Update

Canada recent surge continues, yesterday 1,791, the daily average rose to 1.53k, highest since mid-May and tripled from one month ago. Image
Burma saw new high yesterday in both cases and toll. Of all the fatalities in Burma, 98% are recorded this month. ImageImage
Russia saw precipitous increase recently, especially in Moscow area; almost tripled in two weeks. National daily infection growth speed jumped to 5.2% in the past week from 1.1%. Image
Read 4 tweets

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