A dispatch from The Villages, Florida, where the election could be won or lost. America’s largest retirement village has historically been staunchly Republic, but could the Dems peel off enough votes to make a difference in this bellwether state? 1/ telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/10/1…
Trump is haemorrhaging senior voters, particularly after contracting Covid-19 - polls show him as much as 26 points behind Biden. That could be devastating for him in a swing state like Florida, where nearly 30pc of registered voters are over 60 2/
Chris Stanley, president of The Villages Democratic Club says in the last few months as many as 100 registered Republicans have come through her doors. “For some, the virus was the last straw, for some it was the incessant tweeting, for many it’s worries over Social Security” 3/
Ed McGinty sits outside his local golf club with a buggy festooned with Biden 2020 signs every afternoon. He says he still gets the odd expletives shouted at him but they are now far-outweighed by honks of support. "It's hard to be a Democratic in The Villages," he says 4/
Anyway, here is some number-crunching from the experts, showing why this part of Florida is so important. "If we see 62%-37% for Trump with more than 75k ballots counted, I'd personally consider that to be game over for the president" 5/

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More from @Josiensor

10 Oct
At a Mike Pence rally in The Villages, Florida. I’d say about a quarter of people here are wearing masks. People have pushed their socially distanced chairs together. The Villages is America’s largest retirement village, aka the most vulnerable to Covid-19
My guess is there’s about 1,500 packed into a pretty small square. Three elderly people not wearing masks have already fainted and been medically assisted out #pence #florida
There’s also no shade at Mike Pence’s rally and it’s a super hot Florida summer afternoon
Read 17 tweets
9 Oct
Alexanda Kotey is appearing before a judge at the Eastern District of Virginia for an arraignment hearing now. He sounds as if he's being respectful to the judge, can be heard replying "yes, your honour" a few times.
District Judge Thomas Selby Ellis III keeps referring to Kotey and Elsheikh's "very good English", despite being told several times they are British (UK born with English as first language) 2/
Both Kotey and Elsheikh plead not guilty and request jury trial 3/
Read 4 tweets
3 Jul
“Ghislaine always talks about what a true friend (Prince Andrew) is. She doesn’t see any reason to speak about him to the authorities,” Laura Goldman, one of Maxwell's closest friends tells @CamillaTominey
telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/07/0…
New photograph also shows Ghislaine Maxwell sitting in the Throne Room at Buckingham Palace with Kevin Spacey 2/
Goldman *claims* Ghislaine Maxwell and Prince Andrew had a fling, and that she would more likely "sell out" others, such as Bill Clinton, before the Duke 3/ telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/07/0…
Read 5 tweets
26 Jan
Intercepted radio communications shared w/ @Telegraph show how Soleimani’s Iranian forces and Afghan mercenaries are directing military ops near frontlines in Idlib. “Ya Ali, Oh, Zainab,” the fighters are heard to say, “we will have victory over them” 1/ telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/01/2…
@Telegraph On one recording, an Afghan fighter radios from a base in Tamanah, Maarat al-Numan district, in Persian to another: “Let’s go together toward their position tonight, to see whether it is a bird or fox,” using animals as code words for targets 2/
@Telegraph Opposition delegate at peace talks in Astana & Sochi said Iran had assured Turkey it had no interest in fighting in Idlib and was keen not to jeopardise relations with Ankara. Turkey has become an important trading partner for Tehran as sanctions bite 3/ telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/01/2…
Read 8 tweets
14 Jan
Boris Johnson just called on Trump to replace the Iranian nuclear deal with his own new agreement.
"If we're going to get rid of it, let's replace it and let's replace it with the Trump deal," he says. "That would be a great way forward."
Boris trying to make EU partners and US happy over Iran JCPOA nuclear deal, but currently failing to do either
Diplomats say UK, Germany and France will later today trigger the nuclear deal's dispute mechanism, which could see a “snapback” of global sanctions on Iran 3/
Read 8 tweets
27 Oct 19
Just spoken to a senior Iraqi official who says they arrested one of Baghdadi's wives, his nephew & Baghdad's courier's wife in September. In interviews the latter gave up information on the leader's whereabouts and the coordinates in Idlib. "He wasn't very mobile" official said
These arrests were made in Iraq in September, which suggests Baghdadi has definitely be in Idlib for *at least* two months. Iraqi National Intelligence Services passed the information to the US around this time, according to the official 2/
It seems like the US mission was launched from Erbil in Iraqi Kurdistan, not al-Asad airbase in Iraq or İncirlik in Turkey 3/ Latest here: telegraph.co.uk/news/2019/10/2…
Read 7 tweets

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