Have now had a chance to watch part 3 of Bandar's harsh censure of the Palestinian leadership. From my own experience I can attest to the accuracy of his account of Arafat's failure to accept the Clinton Parameters in December 2000. Note Bandar confirms that: 1. Barak accepted...
...the Clinton Parameters. 2. Arafat lied when he told the Saudi and Egyptian ambassadors that he had accepted them. 3. Rather than pressing Arafat to accept, Bandar ran away. Years later King Abdullah told President Clinton that it was his greatest regret that he did not press..
Arafat to accept the Clinton Parameters. I heard directly from Mubarak's Egyptian advisers that he too regretted not pressing Arafat to accept. This is the other side of Bandar's story. Arab leaders are prepared to support the Palestinian cause but they will not...
press the Palestinians to compromise. They fear Palestinian denunciation of their pressure more than they fear Palestinian criticism of their normalization of relations with Israel. Therefore the Pals would be wiser to use normalization to leverage concessions from Israel than
to cling to a failing anti-normalization policy that will leave them standing on principle but losing all Arab leverage to achieve those principles.

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More from @Martin_Indyk

13 Aug
Three cheers for @MohamedBinZayed and his ambo in Washington Yousef al-Otaiba for a courageous and creative move to normalize relations with Israel, take its annexation of Palestinian land off the table and strike a blow to Israel’s right wing annexationist bloc.
@netanyahu may claim he’s still committed to annexation but in practice he has no way to do it now without sacrificing Israel’s relations with the UAE. Trump too cannot legitimize annexation after brokering this deal.
Palestinians feel betrayed but should have read the writing that’s been on the wall for a long time. Arab states will not pressure them to make a deal but they will not hold up their bilateral relations with Israel for Palestinians’ sake. Expect Oman and Bahrain to follow.
Read 7 tweets
13 Nov 19
My take on the Gaza-Israel crisis:
1. Abu al-Ata (the PIJ leader killed by Israel) earned his fate honestly. He was a rogue actor encouraged by Iran to launch rocket attacks on Israel to make it difficult for Hamas to consolidate its truce with Israel.
2. Israel is trying to keep Hamas out of the fight by restricting its retaliatory attacks to PIJ targets only and keeping casualties low. (That is the opposite of its usual strategy of attacking Hamas targets to press it to take responsibility for PIJ actions.)
3. So far Hamas has stayed out of the fray. But it is under pressure, especially from Iran. This strategy can only work if PIJ rockets continue to do little damage, Israeli retaliation causes limited casualties, and Hamas is able to resist the pressure to join in. Any one...
Read 4 tweets
28 Dec 18
For those asking why the US gives Israel $3.8 bn a year in military assistance:
1. Israel is a democratic ally that lives in a very dangerous neighborhood.
2. The US has a longstanding commitment to maintain Israel’s qualitative military edge. /..2
3. By doing so, US enables Israel to defend itself by itself.
4. US benefits from having a strong, reliable ally in a volatile and unstable region.
5. US also benefits from strategic partnership on intelligence and high-tech.
6. In an earlier era, US military assistance also helped Israel take real risks for peace. Hopefully, it will do so in the future.
7. Current levels of military assistance were agreed to by President Obama - a reflection of a longstanding bipartisan consensus.
8. At a time of...
Read 4 tweets

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