Phil Kerpen Profile picture
13 Oct, 4 tweets, 1 min read
"Close the doors; close the windows." The man is ineducable.
Governor Andrew Cuomo: "This is not a highly nuanced, sophisticated response. This is a fear-driven response. You know, this is not a policy being written by a scalpel. This is a policy being cut by a hatchet. It's just a very blunt.
"I didn't propose this, you know. It was proposed by the mayor in the city. I'm trying to sharpen it and make it better, but it's out of fear. People see the numbers going up. Close everything! Close everything! It's not the best way to do it but it is a fear-driven response.
"The virus scares people... The fear is too high to do anything other than: let's do everything we can to get the infection rate down now. Close the doors. Close the windows. That's where we are."

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More from @kerpen

13 Oct
DC reports zero deaths with COVID. Still 9 in October.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 46 / 4,262 1.08%
7-Day: 416 / 33,052 1.26%
14-Day: 768 / 56,685 1.35%
28-Day: 1381 / 106,801 1.29%
Ward 3, where my kids' school is located. Total tests not available.

Population: 84,869

Positives
1-Day: 0
7-Day: 21
14-Day: 37

Deaths
Mar-Apr: 14
May: 16
Jun: 3
Jul: 0
Aug: 0
Sep: 1
Oct: 0
NOTE: "DC Health does not have information about cycle thresholds."

Per NYT cycle thresholds of 37 to 40 yield up to 90% noninfectious, months-old viral debris.

One test used by the DC Public Health Lab runs *45* doubling cycles.

Test more, find more. But what are you finding?
Read 4 tweets
11 Oct
DC reports 1 deaths with COVID. 9 in October.

7-day average tests break 5000 for the first time at 5192.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 66 / 7,068 0.93%
7-Day: 465 / 36,342 1.28%
14-Day: 734 / 55,008 1.33%
28-Day: 1392 / 105,526 1.32%
Read 6 tweets
10 Oct
DC reports two deaths with COVID. Now 8 total in October.

7-day average tests break 4,500, new record.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 75 / 6,874 1.09%
7-Day: 445 / 31,550 1.41%
14-Day: 703 / 51,120 1.38%
28-Day: 1366 / 101,662 1.34%
NOTE: "DC Health does not have information about cycle thresholds."

Per NYT cycle thresholds of 37 to 40 yield up to 90% noninfectious, months-old viral debris.

One test used by the DC Public Health Lab runs *45* doubling cycles.

Test more, find more. But what are you finding?
Read 5 tweets
6 Oct
DC reports zero deaths with COVID.

Testing new all-time high. (Thanks White House!) Positive % falls.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 105 / 8,461 1.24%
7-Day: 352 / 23,633 1.49%
14-Day: 631 / 48,396 1.30%
28-Day: 1290 / 93,431 1.38%
Read 8 tweets
1 Oct
DC reports 1 death with COVID.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 32 / 2,320 1.38%
7-Day: 252 / 22,313 1.13%
14-Day: 568 / 48,862 1.16%
28-Day: 1223 / 91,421 1.34%

Deaths by month:
Positives continue to move with testing volume.

32 positives today is under @MayorBowser's 35 positives/day standard thanks to moderating testing volume.
Trending toward @MayorBowser's nearly impossible 5 positives/day/100K standard as RNA shadow fades; will need testing volume to stay moderate to get there.
Read 7 tweets
30 Sep
DC reports 1 death with COVID. Now 18 in September (peak was 220 in April and 237 in May).

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 26 / 1,464 1.78%
7-Day: 276 / 24,412 1.13%
14-Day: 583 / 49,619 1.17%
28-Day: 1249 / 93,063 1.34%
Positives continue to move with testing volume.

26 positives today is under @MayorBowser's 35 positives/day standard thanks to low volume. Image
Trending toward Bowser's nearly impossible standard, but only due to moderating testing volume in recent days. Image
Read 5 tweets

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