SBF Profile picture
16 Oct, 6 tweets, 2 min read
2) So, I *do* think AMMs make some sense for mean-reverty spreads.

Like some premiums.

Also, like USDC/TUSD/etc. (Curve!)
3) But you could do the same thing on a DEX.

the tricky thing here is that the two cases @cyounessi1 presents aren't quite the same.

Say there are two things--A and B--and over time A/B --> 1 (i.e. they converge).

In his case, treasuries and their futures.
4) In the CEX case, Cyrus has these markets:

-- A / USD

--B / USD

In the AMM case, Cyrus as this pool:

--A / B

The reason he gets the "better" result in the AMM case is because it listed the right market.
5) But in the CEX case--

--they could have just listed a market of A / B, and then his firm could have put out lots of limit orders to provide--buying A/B @ 0.999, and selling A/B @ 1.001
6)
And in the AMM case, if they instead had A/USD and B/USD pools, then when things moved the LPs would get picked off in both at the same time.

They key here is having a single market that expresses the mean reversion rather than a two legged trade that is latency dependent.

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More from @SBF_Alameda

16 Oct
1) Brothers in arms
2) not (investment) advice
3) Two years ago, Alameda Research nearly ended.

The full story is messy and sordid and contentious, but the short version is that in a month we went from invicible to struggling.

While things were good, all the employees gave things the benefit of the doubt.
Read 20 tweets
15 Oct
1) has been extremely volatile today -- moving up and down 100's of percents.

Also huge difference between exchanges, and between spot and futures.

Overall it was a pretty eventful launch!

Two notes:

--index

--price bands and failed orders
2) There is now an index for !

Binance USDT
Binance BTC
Huobi USDT
Huobi BTC
Kraken USD

Funding is quite negative -- close to 1% per hour for longs. Watch out!
3) hit price bands a few times.

This is generally your responsibility to understand, and we make absolutely no promises going forward; we likely will _not_ do this again, and definitely not for anything except exactly this, but:
Read 8 tweets
14 Oct
1) Can you fix AMMs?
2) NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. NOT MARKET MAKING ADVICE.
3) The premise here is a little odd:

Providing in AMMs has made people millions this summer.

How are they broken?
Read 23 tweets
14 Oct
1) There's something really viscerally brutal about being tied to a token.
2) NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. NOT TOKEN ADVICE. If you want to take this as advice on tying, go for it, as long as it's not related to any investments or tokens.
3) In the last six hours, $SRM is up ~4%. Most coins are down.

Which is awesome!

<3

Also I have no idea why. Literally no idea.
Read 8 tweets
13 Oct
1) There's a lot to unpack in the latest FTX index rebalance announcement:

2) $ETC futures will be delisted from FTX. The instability of the blockchain makes finding a consistent index challenging.

Perpetuals will expire to the index in a week; quarterlies will expire as normal in December.
3) The DEFI, EXCH, ALT, and MID indexes are getting updates. Most of these are straightfoward reflections of recent market cap changes.

Note, in particular, that FTT is getting added to the EXCH and MID indexes.
Read 5 tweets
13 Oct
1) 2020 election odds
2) NOT POLITICAL ADVICE. NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
3) What are the odds Trump is reelected?
Read 22 tweets

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