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Jennifer Cabrera Profile picture
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16 Oct, 3 tweets, 2 min read
It's been 3 weeks since @GovRonDeSantis moved Florida to Phase 3, abolishing occupancy restrictions at restaurants and bars and making individual penalties unenforceable. Many people predicted doom, so let's see how things are going.

1. Hospitalizations - hmm, no problem there
2. Cases - some increase, but really things are just bouncing around with the number of daily tests. We're close to where we were just before entering Phase 3:
3. CLI - the percentage of emergency department visits for COVID-like illness - at its lowest level in months.

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More from @jhaskinscabrera

Jennifer Cabrera Profile picture
16 Oct
Florida reported a net of 94 deaths today. Changes were reported on 56 different days, going back to May 18.

May (+2), July (+4-2), August (+30), September (+25-1), October(+36)

#RationalGround

1/8
Peaks are 7/30 (234) & 8/4 (236); the 7-day moving average peak is 8/5 (224).

The 7-day average plateau between 7/25 and 8/7 has been stable since August 27.

Here is the full graph for context:

2/8
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 77
Minimum age: 26
Maximum age: 101
77% are 65 or older

3/8
Read 8 tweets
Jennifer Cabrera Profile picture
15 Oct
Florida reported a net of 141 deaths today. Changes were reported on 58 different days, going back to April 30.

40% occurred before September

April (+1), May (+3), June (+1-1), August (+53-1), September (+55-1), October(+31)

#RationalGround

1/8
Peaks are 7/30 (234) & 8/4 (235); the 7-day moving average peak is 8/5 (224).

The 7-day average plateau between 7/25 and 8/7 has been stable since August 27.

Here is the full graph for context:

2/8
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 79.5
Minimum age: 42
Maximum age: 98
85% are 65 or older

3/8
Read 8 tweets
Jennifer Cabrera Profile picture
14 Oct
Florida reported a net of 64 deaths today. Changes were reported on 53 different days, going back to July 6. 20 were from Miami-Dade.

July (+4-2), August (+21-2), September (+29-1), October(+15)

#RationalGround

1/8 Image
Peaks are 7/30 (234) & 8/4 (235); the 7-day moving average peak is 8/5 (224).

The 7-day average plateau between 7/25 and 8/7 has been stable since August 27.

Here is the full graph for context:

2/8 Image
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 74
Minimum age: 33
Maximum age: 102
77% are 65 or older

3/8 Image
Read 8 tweets
Jennifer Cabrera Profile picture
9 Oct
How to get an endless pandemic:

1. Use a test that detects fragments of the virus and then designate every positive test as a "case."
2. Test at a massive scale, including people who are asymptomatic.

1/4
3. Issue guidance that every death with a positive test should be counted as a COVID death.

These are surveillance tools that have morphed into tools for control of every part of our lives.

2/4
Now that the metrics are being used as evidence that we need to stay locked down and wear masks, we need more accurate tests (lower cycle threshold) and more scrutiny of primary causes of deaths.

3/4
Read 4 tweets
Jennifer Cabrera Profile picture
8 Oct
Florida reported a net of 164 deaths today. Changes were reported on 57 different dates, going back to July 3. A net of 19 are from Miami-Dade.

July (+47-1), August (+73), September (+33-2), October(+15-1)

#RationalGround

1/8
Peaks are 7/30 (230) & 8/4 (232); the 7-day moving average peak is 8/5 (221).

The 7-day average plateau between 7/25 and 8/7 has been stable since August 27.

2/8
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 79
Minimum age: 38
Maximum age: 99
86% are 65 or older

3/8
Read 8 tweets
Jennifer Cabrera Profile picture
7 Oct
Florida reported a net of 137 deaths today. Changes were reported on 70 different dates, going back to June 19. A net of 19 are from Miami-Dade.

June, (+1-1), July (+18-1), August (+45), September (+46-1), October(+30)

#RationalGround

1/8
Peaks are 7/23 (221), 7/30(224), & 8/4 (225); the 7-day moving average is nearly flat from 7/25 (211) through the 8/5 (215) peak.

The first peak at 7/25 has been steady since I started reporting it on August 27. The 2nd peak appeared on Sept 11, and hasn't moved, either.

2/8
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 78
Minimum age: 39
Maximum age: 99
81% are 65 or older

3/8
Read 8 tweets

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