There’s lots of usual information in today’s press release from the @Join_ZOE Covid Symptom Study App, which gives an indication of what’s happening before other sources.
In the release @timspector, Professor of Genetic Epidemiology at King's College London, comments:
“The data is no longer showing the exponential increases that we were seeing a couple of weeks ago, but is clearly showing new cases continuing to rise.”
“The North West still has the most cases and the fastest acceleration of cases with doubling times of around 10 days. Slowing this rapid rise is a priority. Scotland, Wales, London and the Midlands are slowly increasing with a doubling time of 14-28 days...
“...and the South and East of England remaining relatively flat with five-fold fewer cases than the worst hit regions.”
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Pre-existing conditions of people who died with COVID-19: A thread.
In July, @ONS published its final report on pre-existing conditions in deaths involving COVID-19. As far as I'm aware, this very useful and important information has not been published since.
Of the 50,335 deaths that occurred in March to June involving COVID-19 in England and Wales, 46,376 (92.8%) had COVID-19 assigned as the leading cause of death.
45,859 (91.1%) had at least one pre-existing condition, while 4,476 (8.9%) had none.
The mean number of pre-existing conditions for deaths involving COVID-19 between March and June was 2.1 for those aged 0 to 69 years and 2.3 for those aged 70 years and over.
Today, @SadiqKhan repeated his claim from 25 September that London is at a “tipping point in the spread of this virus” and that we need to start preparing for additional restrictions.
We need to be careful, but are we really at a tipping point?
Well there’s no doubt that positive cases are rising in the capital, as we’re seeing in much of the UK. That’s borne out by both @PHE_uk/@NHSX dashboard data and the @Join_ZOE Covid Symptom Study App.
However the rate of growth in London does not appear comparable with northern parts of England, which was shown in the @ONS infection survey this week: